Colorado Rockies Playoff Chances 2014

Tied with Padres 0-0 (Bot 5th), playoff odds unchanged at 0.008%

46-73 .387

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Giants 5 Rockies 4	-2.6		-0.3
Diamondbacks 6 Dodgers 8	-0.4
Padres 5 Tigers 1	-0.2
Angels 14 Mets 2	+0.2

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Padres 5 Rockies 4	-2.4		-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Rockies finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

89		43	-	0	In		6	23	21	48	3											300
82		36	-	7	Out								100									1
81		35	-	8	Out								50	50								2
80		34	-	9	Out							10	20	10	40	10	10					10
79		33	-	10	Out								5	21	40	24	10					42
78		32	-	11	Out								1	11	32	38	16	2				141
77		31	-	12	Out									3	13	35	38	10				478
76		30	-	13	Out										5	27	43	24	1			1,619
75		29	-	14	Out									0	1	12	40	41	6	0		4,345
74		28	-	15	Out									0	0	4	26	55	13	1	0	10,728
73		27	-	16	Out										0	1	13	56	27	4	0	23,865
72		26	-	17	Out											0	5	46	39	10	1	47,683
71		25	-	18	Out											0	1	30	45	21	3	87,217
70		24	-	19	Out											0	0	17	42	33	8	144,905
69		23	-	20	Out												0	7	32	43	17	217,487
68		22	-	21	Out												0	3	20	46	31	299,525
67		21	-	22	Out													1	10	40	49	375,639
66		20	-	23	Out													0	4	30	66	428,878
65		19	-	24	Out													0	1	18	80	445,621
64		18	-	25	Out													0	0	10	90	421,457
63		17	-	26	Out													0	0	4	95	362,098
62		16	-	27	Out														0	2	98	282,101
61		15	-	28	Out														0	1	99	198,584
60		14	-	29	Out															0	100	126,667
59		13	-	30	Out															0	100	72,901
58		12	-	31	Out															0	100	37,638
57		11	-	32	Out															0	100	17,175
56		10	-	33	Out															0	100	7,053
55		9	-	34	Out															0	100	2,488
46	-54				Out																100	1,352	*

Total:					0.0	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	9	20	67	3,618,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Giants 5 Rockies 4	+0.5

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Padres 5 Rockies 4	+0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

89		43	-	0				4	12	30	26	22	5	0
82		36	-	7														100
81		35	-	8															50	50
80		34	-	9																10	30	40	20
79		33	-	10																5	21	21	33	14	2	2
78		32	-	11																	4	19	30	25	18	4	1
77		31	-	12																	1	4	13	27	32	16	5	1	0
76		30	-	13																		0	4	17	30	31	13	4	0
75		29	-	14																		0	0	5	18	30	29	14	3	0
74		28	-	15																		0	0	1	6	20	32	28	11	2	0
73		27	-	16																			0	0	1	7	23	34	26	8	1	0
72		26	-	17																				0	0	2	10	27	35	21	5	0	0
71		25	-	18																					0	0	3	14	33	33	15	2	0
70		24	-	19																					0	0	0	5	21	37	28	8	1	0
69		23	-	20																						0	0	1	9	29	39	20	3	0
68		22	-	21																							0	0	3	16	38	34	9	0
67		21	-	22																							0	0	1	6	27	45	20	1
66		20	-	23																								0	0	2	15	45	36	3
65		19	-	24																									0	0	6	35	51	9
64		18	-	25																									0	0	2	22	59	18
63		17	-	26																									0	0	0	11	57	32
62		16	-	27																											0	4	48	47
61		15	-	28																											0	1	36	62
60		14	-	29																												0	24	75
59		13	-	30																												0	15	85
58		12	-	31																												0	8	92
57		11	-	32																												0	4	96
56		10	-	33																													2	98
55		9	-	34																													1	99
46	-54																																	100

Total:								0	0	0	0	0	0	0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	7	13	23	33	20