San Diego Padres Playoff Chances 2014

Tied with Rockies 0-0 (Bot 5th), playoff odds down 0.1 to 2.6%
56-62   .475

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Padres 5 Tigers 1 +1.3
+0.2
Diamondbacks 6 Dodgers 8 -0.2
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Padres 5 Rockies 4 +1.7
+0.3
Brewers 0 Cardinals 4 -0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10044-0In1000300
93-94In1003*
9236-8In52262227
9135-9In2439334128
9034-10In10308502463
8933-1199.8%4161163501,326
8832-1299.01710641713,819
8731-1393.30265233619,858
8630-1478.80033244193022,264
8529-1553.001133934111045,622
8428-1626.000422402771084,046
8327-178.60018293920300140,421
8226-181.80021336351320212,244
8125-190.2000421402970292,530
8024-200.001830411920367,846
7923-210.000215403570420,226
7822-22Out00529471900440,482
7721-23Out00115473510418,785
7620-24Out0063752400361,994
7519-25Out0223631110288,350
7418-26Out0011622330207,774
7317-27Out045136910136,793
7216-28Out013343203081,272
7115-29Out016403310044,091
7014-30Out06284222221,784
6913-31Out214383979,605
6812-32Out152850163,787
6711-33Out11452331,319
6610-34Out063658418
659-35Out22573101
648-36Out178318
56-63Out100304*
Total:2.6%00012471218242462103,618,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Padres 5 Tigers 1 -0.5
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Padres 5 Rockies 4 -0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10044-038593
9438-6100
9337-7100
9236-81967474
9135-9182534249
9034-1028233421111
8933-110211263421600
8832-12029263521510
8731-1302102738164200
8630-14002123431794100
8529-150317337161671000
8428-160052131425219200
8327-1701805182925123000
8226-18002015172827154100
8125-19000014152729175100
8024-2000014132731196100
7923-2100003132832195100
7822-22000313303316300
7721-2300316343213200
7620-2400052036279100
7519-2500182637226100
7418-2600212313417400
7317-2700317333013300
7216-2801620342710200
7115-29018243524710
7014-300021128362040
6913-31031433361220
6812-3200521422750
6711-330093443131
6610-3431941315
659-357413914
648-36117811
62-63100
560-44199
Total:00000000120123468101213131074210000