Arizona Diamondbacks Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Lost to Indians 2-3, playoff odds down 0.03 to 0.06%
51-68   .429

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Diamondbacks 6 Dodgers 8 -2.1
-0.3
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Diamondbacks 3 Mets 7 -1.8
-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Diamondbacks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9443-0In973100
8736-7In3333333
8635-890.9%94536922
8534-975.0410263521480
8433-1055.61510403582286
8332-1122.7022193332102779
8231-127.01062436257102,160
8130-130.90182537236005,011
8029-140.1001102937194010,710
7928-15Out02133335142020,919
7827-16Out00318373191036,583
7726-17Out0162540244058,089
7625-18Out01113439131082,910
7524-19Out00320442850109,771
7423-20Out0183741130132,595
7322-21Out0022347271143,400
7221-22Out011243423143,908
7120-23Out0532549131,576
7019-24Out02206019109,405
6918-25Out111573283,547
6817-26Out05484757,541
6716-27Out02356336,809
6615-28Out01237620,624
6514-29Out0148610,608
6413-30Out07925,161
6312-31Out03972,110
6211-32Out199819
51-61Out100474*
Total:0.1%00000001249172529121,206,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Diamondbacks 6 Dodgers 8 +0.6
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Diamondbacks 3 Mets 7 +0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9443-03750112
8736-7333333
8635-8523361899
8534-91519331810861
8433-1006222710121282
8332-1105173922231551
8231-1200603102325209200
8130-130102718282314510
8029-1400015132528187200
7928-1500310212923113100
7827-1600016182827155100
7726-170014142628187100
7625-180013122430208200
7524-1900310243122820
7423-20000210243222810
7322-21000211273320500
7221-2200031431341520
7120-23001519373081
7019-2400182840203
6918-250021539349
6817-260016284421
6716-2702174438
6615-280073756
6514-29032572
6413-3011485
6312-310892
6211-32496
6110-33298
51-60100
Total:0000000000000001112357912141514105