Arizona Diamondbacks Playoff Chances 2014

Lost to Indians 2-3, playoff odds unchanged at 0.009%

51-68 .429

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Diamondbacks 6 Dodgers 8	-0.8		-0.2

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Diamondbacks 3 Mets 7	-0.6		-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Diamondbacks finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

94		43	-	0	In		86	5	0	8												300
85		34	-	9	In				50		50											2
84		33	-	10	40.0	%					40	40	20									5
83		32	-	11	4.2						4	46	25	21	4							24
82		31	-	12	5.4						5	23	35	21	14	3						111
81		30	-	13	0.5						1	6	20	41	27	5	0					374
80		29	-	14	Out							1	9	30	39	19	2	0				1,314
79		28	-	15	Out							0	2	16	37	33	11	1				3,317
78		27	-	16	Out								0	5	24	43	24	4	0			8,347
77		26	-	17	Out								0	1	10	36	39	14	0			18,736
76		25	-	18	Out								0	0	3	21	45	29	2	0		38,864
75		24	-	19	Out									0	1	9	37	47	6	0		72,745
74		23	-	20	Out										0	3	23	59	14	1	0	124,310
73		22	-	21	Out										0	1	11	59	26	3	0	193,722
72		21	-	22	Out											0	4	50	38	8	0	274,775
71		20	-	23	Out											0	1	35	47	16	0	355,935
70		19	-	24	Out											0	0	22	48	28	2	418,997
69		18	-	25	Out											0	0	11	42	42	5	447,838
68		17	-	26	Out												0	5	31	53	11	437,208
67		16	-	27	Out													2	19	57	22	385,713
66		15	-	28	Out													1	10	53	37	307,663
65		14	-	29	Out													0	4	42	54	222,117
64		13	-	30	Out													0	1	29	69	144,407
63		12	-	31	Out													0	0	18	82	84,576
62		11	-	32	Out														0	9	90	43,831
61		10	-	33	Out														0	4	96	20,171
60		9	-	34	Out															2	98	8,143
59		8	-	35	Out															0	100	2,972
58		7	-	36	Out															0	100	884
51	-57				Out																100	599	*

Total:					0.0	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	19	27	32	18	3,618,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Diamondbacks 6 Dodgers 8	+0.5

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Diamondbacks 3 Mets 7	+0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

94		43	-	0		30	40	25	5
85		34	-	9								50		50
84		33	-	10										40			20	40
83		32	-	11										4		4	21	21	25	8	17
82		31	-	12										5			3	15	23	29	17	5	2	1
81		30	-	13										1		0	1	4	13	23	32	20	6	1
80		29	-	14														0	3	12	27	31	20	6	1
79		28	-	15															0	2	12	26	33	20	6	1
78		27	-	16															0	0	2	12	27	34	19	5	1	0
77		26	-	17																0	0	2	13	29	33	17	5	0	0
76		25	-	18																	0	0	3	14	31	32	16	3	0	0
75		24	-	19																		0	0	4	17	33	30	13	2	0	0
74		23	-	20																			0	1	6	20	35	27	10	1	0	0
73		22	-	21																			0	0	1	8	25	36	23	6	1	0
72		21	-	22																				0	0	2	12	31	35	17	3	0	0
71		20	-	23																					0	0	4	18	37	31	10	1	0
70		19	-	24																					0	0	1	7	27	39	22	3	0	0
69		18	-	25																						0	0	2	14	36	36	11	1	0
68		17	-	26																							0	0	5	25	43	23	4	0
67		16	-	27																							0	0	1	12	38	37	11	1
66		15	-	28																								0	0	4	25	43	24	3
65		14	-	29																									0	1	12	39	39	8
64		13	-	30																									0	0	5	27	50	18
63		12	-	31																										0	1	15	51	33
62		11	-	32																										0	0	6	43	50
61		10	-	33																											0	2	32	66
60		9	-	34																												0	20	79
59		8	-	35																												0	11	89
58		7	-	36																													6	94
57		6	-	37																													1	99
51	-56																																	100

Total:						0	0	0	0			0		0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	8	14	18	21	16	10	4