New York Mets Playoff Chances 2014

Beating Nationals 1-0 (Top 5th), playoff odds down 0.05 to 2.2%

57-63 .475

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Angels 14 Mets 2	-1.8		-0.2
Diamondbacks 6 Dodgers 8	-0.2

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Diamondbacks 3 Mets 7	+1.7		+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

99	42	-	0	In		100	0														300
93	36	-	6	In			100														3
92	35	-	7	In		46	31	23													13
91	34	-	8	In		17	52	19	11	2											64
90	33	-	9	In		10	43	27	19	2											307
89	32	-	10	99.7	%	3	25	34	30	8	0	0									1,033
88	31	-	11	97.2		1	11	35	35	15	3	0									3,124
87	30	-	12	90.3		0	4	28	30	29	9	1									8,203
86	29	-	13	73.7			1	18	19	37	22	4	0								19,519
85	28	-	14	47.8			0	9	8	31	36	15	1	0							41,660
84	27	-	15	23.1			0	4	2	17	39	31	7	0	0						79,754
83	26	-	16	7.4				1	0	6	27	42	20	3	0	0					137,249
82	25	-	17	1.7				0	0	1	12	38	35	12	1	0					212,620
81	24	-	18	0.2				0	0	0	3	22	41	27	6	1					297,501
80	23	-	19	0.0				0		0	1	8	31	39	18	3	0				377,071
79	22	-	20	0.0						0	0	2	16	39	33	9	0				433,432
78	21	-	21	Out							0	0	6	28	44	22	0	0			453,397
77	20	-	22	Out								0	1	15	43	40	1	0			428,060
76	19	-	23	Out								0	0	6	33	56	5	0			368,303
75	18	-	24	Out									0	2	20	66	12	1	0		285,676
74	17	-	25	Out									0	0	10	64	23	2	0		201,598
73	16	-	26	Out										0	4	53	36	7	0		128,470
72	15	-	27	Out										0	1	36	44	17	2	0	73,976
71	14	-	28	Out											0	20	44	30	6	0	37,744
70	13	-	29	Out											0	9	34	40	16	1	17,583
69	12	-	30	Out												3	21	43	29	3	7,157
68	11	-	31	Out												1	11	36	44	8	2,685
67	10	-	32	Out												0	4	23	52	21	875
66	9	-	33	Out													0	13	51	36	243
65	8	-	34	Out													2	8	43	48	65
64	7	-	35	Out															15	85	13
63	6	-	36	Out															50	50	2
57	0	-	42	Out																100	300

Total:				2.2	%	0	0	0	0	1	4	8	12	18	23	26	6	1	0	0	3,618,000

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Angels 14 Mets 2	+0.5

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Diamondbacks 3 Mets 7	-0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

99	42	-	0	42	54	4
93	36	-	6				67		33
92	35	-	7		8	31	15	31	15
91	34	-	8			3	22	25	31	14	3	2
90	33	-	9		0	3	8	28	26	24	8	2
89	32	-	10			0	1	9	25	30	25	8	2	0	0
88	31	-	11					1	8	23	33	24	8	2	0
87	30	-	12					0	1	7	22	35	24	6	3	1	0
86	29	-	13					0	0	1	8	27	38	9	10	5	1	0	0
85	28	-	14							0	1	11	35	7	17	17	8	2	0	0
84	27	-	15								0	3	20	3	13	25	23	11	3	0	0
83	26	-	16								0	0	7	0	4	16	28	26	13	4	1	0	0
82	25	-	17									0	2	0	1	4	16	29	28	16	5	1	0	0
81	24	-	18									0	0		0	1	4	14	28	30	17	5	1	0	0
80	23	-	19										0		0	0	0	3	13	27	31	19	6	1	0
79	22	-	20										0			0	0	0	3	12	27	32	19	6	1	0	0
78	21	-	21													0	0	0	0	3	13	29	33	18	4	0	0	0
77	20	-	22															0	0	0	3	15	32	33	14	3	0	0
76	19	-	23																0	0	0	4	19	36	29	10	1	0	0
75	18	-	24																	0	0	1	7	26	37	23	6	1	0
74	17	-	25																		0	0	2	12	32	34	17	3	0	0
73	16	-	26																			0	0	4	18	35	30	11	2	0	0
72	15	-	27																				0	1	7	24	36	24	7	1	0
71	14	-	28																					0	2	11	29	35	19	4	0	0
70	13	-	29																					0	0	3	15	33	32	14	2	0
69	12	-	30																						0	1	6	20	37	28	8	1
68	11	-	31																							0	1	9	29	36	21	4	0
67	10	-	32																								0	3	14	35	36	11	1
66	9	-	33																										5	26	44	24	1
65	8	-	34																									2	2	12	35	40	9
64	7	-	35																												15	54	31
63	6	-	36																													100
57	0	-	42																													3	97

Total:				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	3	4	6	8	10	12	13	13	11	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0