Cincinnati Reds Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Lost to Red Sox 4-5, playoff odds down 4 to 15.2%
59-60   .496

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reds 12 Rays 4 +2.0
+0.3
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reds 7 Pirates 8 -2.3
-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10243-0In100100
9536-7In75254
9435-8In10021
9334-9In8514198
9233-10In692714257
9132-11In523836818
9031-12In364561312,154
8930-13100.0%19451024205,176
8829-1499.883414376010,768
8728-1598.522015431710020,955
8627-1691.50812393281036,565
8526-1774.302624422140057,649
8425-1846.002103437152083,371
8324-1919.400217363211100110,229
8223-205.0005213827710131,462
8122-210.80017273921400143,551
8021-220.1011134371420143,967
7920-230.00003184030800131,975
7819-24Out007284021300109,936
7718-25Out001133737101083,116
7617-26Out0042344245057,366
7516-27Out01103737142036,564
7415-28Out032340286020,846
7314-29Out0110334016110,647
7213-30Out0321433035,050
7112-31Out17374692,115
7011-32Out03255121779
6910-33Out1155034259
689-34Out6385769
678-35Out4267027
667-36Out17836
590-43Out100100
Total:15.2%011481113161613942101,206,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs