"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Cincinnati Reds Playoff Chances 2014

Lost to Red Sox 4-5, playoff odds down 6.6 to 19.5%
59-60   .496

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reds 12 Rays 4 +1.2
+0.2
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reds 7 Pirates 8 -2.5
-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
97-102In100302*
9637-6In811916
9536-7In722860
9435-8In43516221
9334-9In3553102825
9233-10In225717402,421
9132-11In1151271106,816
9031-12In5403619116,759
8930-1399.8%12538306035,534
8829-1498.70123338151068,832
8728-1594.00422382960119,824
8627-1680.50111274117200189,501
8526-1756.404133934910270,285
8425-1829.1014244324400350,025
8324-1910.500110343915200411,530
8223-202.5002174131710441,235
8122-210.4000628422030431,297
8021-220.0011338351210383,992
7920-230.000425412550311,469
7819-24Out01113638140229,895
7718-25Out0423442810154,811
7617-26Out011139454094,107
7516-27Out0042758111052,390
7415-28Out011360232026,236
7314-29Out0550378011,827
7213-30Out0235441724,906
7112-31Out0194628601,789
7011-32Out0103636170573
6910-33Out32344282164
689-34Out1045351049
678-35Out1363258
667-36Out1001
590-43Out100300
Total:19.5%0135101518181410510003,618,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs