Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Tied with Tigers 0-0 (Top 4th), playoff odds down 0.2 to 73%
64-54   .542

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brewers 4 Pirates 1 -3.1
-0.3
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reds 7 Pirates 8 +2.9
+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
99-108In100158*
9834-10In991184
9733-11In991560
9632-12In98201,475
9531-13In97303,547
9430-14In937017,904
9329-15In86120215,728
9228-16In761914028,515
9127-17In622818047,149
9026-18100.0%44373160070,655
8925-19100.026397261096,404
8824-2099.81234113850120,757
8723-2198.842214451410138,014
8622-2294.5110124328500144,842
8521-2381.4038304016200138,111
8420-2456.700314383210100120,156
8319-2527.901423392671096,201
8218-268.6001828372150070,592
8117-271.6002113136173046,719
8016-280.2003153533122028,699
7915-290.000420392870015,813
7814-30Out018293920307,927
7713-31Out213353712103,565
7612-32Out04204127711,431
7511-33Out172842183538
7410-34Out21342386181
739-35Out328442564
728-36Out2957147
69-71Out1004*
640-44Out11584100
Total:73.0%131462316117431000001,206,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs