Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2014

Tied with Tigers 0-0 (Top 4th), playoff odds down 0.1 to 69.4%
64-54   .542

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brewers 4 Pirates 1 -2.5
-0.2
Diamondbacks 6 Dodgers 8 -0.2
Reds 12 Rays 4 -0.2
Angels 14 Mets 2 +0.2
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Reds 7 Pirates 8 +3.1
+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
102-108In100303*
10137-7In80205
10036-8In10031
9935-9In982179
9834-10In973604
9733-11In937001,744
9632-12In8713004,981
9531-13In77221012,291
9430-14In64322126,984
9329-15In484353053,604
9228-16In3250117096,575
9127-17In174919140155,906
9026-18100.0%840282310232,319
8925-1999.9226333450312,297
8824-2099.011330421410381,898
8723-2195.705224127400428,061
8622-2285.50112324013100437,117
8521-2365.105184229600406,397
8420-2438.50173041183000345,961
8319-2516.10021438341110269,262
8218-264.5004234126600189,980
8117-270.8001831391730121,963
8016-280.100215393310171,141
7915-290.00052641244037,763
7814-30Out0112373813017,909
7713-31Out04234527107,922
7612-32Out1113744602,962
7511-33Out0427521511,104
7410-34Out11353303335
739-35Out538481082
728-36Out295361217
717-37Out3333333
640-44Out014058300
Total:69.4%411142119149521000003,618,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs