Chicago Cubs Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Tied with Brewers 0-0 (Bot 1st), playoff odds unchanged at 0.1%

51-67 .432

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cardinals 6 Cubs 4	-2.7		-0.3
Angels 14 Mets 2	+0.2

Monday	None

What If

Chances based on how well the Cubs finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

95		44	-	0	In		99	1														100
88		37	-	7	In		40			60												5
87		36	-	8	In			57		43												7
86		35	-	9	97.8	%		13	29	31	24	2										45
85		34	-	10	87.0		1	5	16	35	30	13	1									184
84		33	-	11	62.2			0	8	17	37	27	9	1								550
83		32	-	12	29.2			0	2	4	23	39	22	9	1							1,389
82		31	-	13	8.2				0	0	8	25	35	24	6	1	0					3,525
81		30	-	14	1.0				0		1	9	26	36	22	6	1	0				7,850
80		29	-	15	0.1					0	0	1	10	29	35	20	4	0				15,739
79		28	-	16	Out							0	2	12	32	35	16	3	0			28,597
78		27	-	17	Out							0	0	3	17	36	32	11	1	0		46,779
77		26	-	18	Out								0	1	5	23	40	26	4	0		70,781
76		25	-	19	Out									0	1	10	33	42	13	1	0	96,207
75		24	-	20	Out									0	0	3	19	46	27	4	0	121,260
74		23	-	21	Out										0	1	8	38	41	12	0	138,040
73		22	-	22	Out											0	2	25	48	24	1	144,437
72		21	-	23	Out											0	1	13	45	39	2	137,882
71		20	-	24	Out											0	0	6	35	53	7	120,256
70		19	-	25	Out												0	2	23	62	14	96,613
69		18	-	26	Out												0	1	12	62	25	70,488
68		17	-	27	Out													0	6	56	38	47,139
67		16	-	28	Out													0	2	46	51	28,658
66		15	-	29	Out														1	35	64	15,662
65		14	-	30	Out														0	24	76	7,951
64		13	-	31	Out														0	16	84	3,537
63		12	-	32	Out														0	9	91	1,487
62		11	-	33	Out															6	94	502
61		10	-	34	Out															5	95	163
60		9	-	35	Out															2	98	48
59		8	-	36	Out															7	93	15
51	-58				Out																100	104	*

Total:					0.1	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	10	20	26	27	8	1,206,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cardinals 6 Cubs 4	+0.7

Monday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

95		44	-	0	52	39	9
88		37	-	7				20	20	40	20
87		36	-	8				14	14	43	14		14
86		35	-	9					2	4	33	36	18	4		2
85		34	-	10					1	3	11	23	32	17	5	5	2
84		33	-	11							1	8	27	26	9	11	13	3	2
83		32	-	12								2	6	21	3	15	23	18	8	3	1
82		31	-	13									1	7	1	3	13	24	25	17	7	2	0	0
81		30	-	14									0	1		0	2	8	18	27	24	14	5	1	0
80		29	-	15									0	0		0	0	1	4	12	23	27	20	9	2	0	0
79		28	-	16													0	0	0	2	7	18	27	25	14	5	1	0
78		27	-	17															0	0	1	5	14	26	28	18	7	2	0	0
77		26	-	18																0	0	1	3	11	23	29	21	9	2	0	0
76		25	-	19																	0	0	0	2	10	23	30	23	10	2	0	0
75		24	-	20																		0	0	0	2	9	23	31	23	9	2	0
74		23	-	21																			0	0	0	2	10	25	32	22	7	1	0
73		22	-	22																					0	0	3	12	27	34	19	5	0	0
72		21	-	23																						0	0	4	15	32	33	14	2	0
71		20	-	24																						0	0	1	5	21	39	27	6	0
70		19	-	25																							0	0	1	10	31	40	16	2
69		18	-	26																								0	0	3	19	43	29	6
68		17	-	27																									0	1	8	35	42	14
67		16	-	28																									0	0	3	23	46	27
66		15	-	29																										0	1	13	44	43
65		14	-	30																											0	6	35	59
64		13	-	31																											0	2	26	72
63		12	-	32																												1	16	83
62		11	-	33																													10	90
61		10	-	34																													5	95
60		9	-	35																													2	98
59		8	-	36																													7	93
51	-58																																	100

Total:					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	8	10	13	14	15	13	7	3