St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Beating Marlins 2-0 (Top 5th), playoff odds down 0.6 to 50.3%
62-56   .525

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 6 Cubs 4 +3.0
+0.3
Padres 5 Tigers 1 -0.3
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brewers 0 Cardinals 4 +3.3
+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
98-106In100119*
9735-9In98252
9634-10In955171
9533-11In937511
9432-12In861311,473
9331-13In7820013,572
9230-14In67281407,865
9129-15In513829015,900
9028-16100.0%34435171028,207
8927-17100.018429282046,920
8826-1899.773213408070,479
8725-1998.12181445192096,175
8624-2092.407114034700121,025
8523-2177.2026254420300137,846
8422-2251.200211383611100144,939
8321-2324.3013214127710138,182
8220-247.50007283821500120,521
8119-251.4001113236173096,805
8018-260.203163533122070,636
7917-270.000420382981046,756
7816-28Out0172739224028,379
7715-29Out01123537132015,646
7614-30Out03194127817,970
7513-31Out1730392043,642
7412-32Out011537351101,368
7311-33Out052544251513
7210-34Out11446336154
719-35Out52069555
708-36Out624294117
697-37Out1001
686-38Out1001
620-44Out100100
Total:50.3%48416181612964210001,206,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs