Texas Rangers Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Losing to Rays 0-1 (Mid 1st), playoff odds unchanged at 0.008%

47-72 .395

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers 1 Astros 0	+2.7		+0.3
Angels 14 Mets 2	-0.3

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers 1 Mariners 7	-3.0		-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Rangers finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

90		43	-	0	In		11	14	2	66	7											100
83		36	-	7	Out							25	13	50	13							8
82		35	-	8	Out								30	35	25	10						20
81		34	-	9	Out								7	14	39	33	7					76
80		33	-	10	Out								1	8	25	43	20	3	0			276
79		32	-	11	Out									1	11	38	35	15	1			812
78		31	-	12	Out								0	0	3	20	42	27	7	1		2,152
77		30	-	13	Out									0	0	7	31	40	18	3		5,034
76		29	-	14	Out										0	2	15	41	33	9	0	10,636
75		28	-	15	Out											0	6	29	43	21	1	21,033
74		27	-	16	Out											0	2	16	43	36	3	36,729
73		26	-	17	Out											0	0	7	34	51	8	57,902
72		25	-	18	Out												0	2	21	59	17	83,737
71		24	-	19	Out												0	1	11	57	31	109,754
70		23	-	20	Out												0	0	5	48	47	131,369
69		22	-	21	Out													0	2	35	63	143,854
68		21	-	22	Out													0	0	22	77	144,357
67		20	-	23	Out														0	13	87	131,641
66		19	-	24	Out														0	7	93	109,542
65		18	-	25	Out														0	3	97	82,801
64		17	-	26	Out														0	1	99	57,620
63		16	-	27	Out															0	100	36,369
62		15	-	28	Out															0	100	20,942
61		14	-	29	Out															0	100	10,776
60		13	-	30	Out															0	100	5,099
59		12	-	31	Out															0	100	2,084
58		11	-	32	Out															0	100	793
47	-57				Out																100	484	*

Total:					0.0	%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	7	28	62	1,206,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Rangers 1 Astros 0	-0.7

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Rangers 1 Mariners 7	+0.7

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

90		43	-	0	6	19	43	21	9	2
83		36	-	7											13	25	38	25
82		35	-	8												5	15	30	20	20	5	5
81		34	-	9													4	5	18	24	25	17	4	3
80		33	-	10												0		1	7	13	18	30	18	9	3
79		32	-	11															0	2	8	21	27	21	13	5	1	0
78		31	-	12																0	1	5	17	27	26	17	6	1	0
77		30	-	13																	0	1	4	13	24	28	20	8	2	0	0
76		29	-	14																		0	0	2	10	22	30	22	10	2	0	0
75		28	-	15																			0	0	2	8	22	30	24	11	2	0
74		27	-	16																				0	0	2	8	22	31	24	10	2	0	0
73		26	-	17																					0	0	2	9	23	32	24	9	1	0
72		25	-	18																						0	0	2	10	26	34	22	6	0
71		24	-	19																						0	0	0	3	13	30	35	16	2
70		23	-	20																								0	1	4	19	38	31	7
69		22	-	21																								0	0	1	8	30	44	17
68		21	-	22																									0	0	2	17	48	32
67		20	-	23																										0	1	8	43	49
66		19	-	24																										0	0	3	32	65
65		18	-	25																											0	1	21	78
64		17	-	26																												0	13	87
63		16	-	27																												0	7	93
62		15	-	28																												0	4	96
61		14	-	29																													2	98
60		13	-	30																													1	99
59		12	-	31																													0	100
58		11	-	32																													0	100
47	-57																																	100

Total:					0	0	0	0	0	0					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	10	16	26	34