Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances 2014

Plays Blue Jays, playoff odds down 0.3 to 62%
64-55   .538

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 0 Athletics 3 -3.6
-0.3
Angels 14 Mets 2 -0.3
Padres 5 Tigers 1 +0.2
Reds 12 Rays 4 *+0.2
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers 1 Mariners 7 +3.4
+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10743-0In1000300
10339-4In1003
10238-5In93715
10137-6In7732060
10036-7In6139275
9935-8In4525201,041
9834-9In2936812,957
9733-10In16307838,359
9632-11In72083720,699
9531-12In310801643,703
9430-13100.0%1107029083,843
9329-1499.900057430143,732
9228-1599.700042570221,212
9127-1698.5000287120305,625
9026-1795.0001679500382,951
8925-1886.608781310435,142
8824-1971.436826300447,999
8723-2050.414940910419,546
8622-2128.90294721300358,617
8521-2212.501240371010277,412
8420-233.80425442440195,932
8319-240.711137381210125,724
8218-250.1032244284072,778
8117-260.0019364311038,712
8016-27Out032149252018,452
7915-28Out0194143607,982
7814-29Out03265415103,078
7713-30Out01125228601,043
7612-31Out434401740359
7511-32Out32343247109
7410-33Out6323916631
739-34Out3344229
640-43Out1090300
Total:62.0%00014482011521000003,618,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs