Houston Astros Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Lost to Twins 1-3, playoff odds unchanged at 0.009%
50-71   .413

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers 1 Astros 0 -2.7
-0.3
Angels 14 Mets 2 -0.4
MondayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Astros finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9141-0In171335710100
8636-5In1001
8535-6Out1001
8434-75.6%622502218
8333-84.551436367244
8232-9Out422393051198
8131-10Out1622402641600
8030-11Out110333717201,715
7929-12Out021437351114,337
7828-13Out04234226509,558
7727-14Out018334016219,653
7626-15Out0021842317034,978
7525-16Out0007324318056,430
7424-17Out02194534183,264
7323-18Out00837503110,992
7222-19Out0326639133,833
7121-20Out01146717147,418
7020-21Out0076330147,226
6919-22Out035345134,512
6818-23Out013960111,376
6717-24Out00277382,627
6616-25Out0168456,274
6515-26Out099134,880
6414-27Out49619,363
6313-28Out2989,447
6212-29Out1994,351
6111-30Out01001,810
50-60Out100994*
Total:0.0%0000000001261643321,206,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers 1 Astros 0 +0.7
MondayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9141-0152634205
8636-5100
8535-6100
8434-7628441166
8333-82252327181472
8232-91516262813102
8131-10141218232214610
8030-11015152527178210
7929-1200029202723124100
7828-13001516262717610
7727-140141224292182000
7626-1500021023302310300
7525-16000292230241020
7424-1700292232259200
7323-180029253323700
7222-190021229351830
7121-20000417363391
7020-2100172642213
6919-2200021340369
6818-23005284521
6717-24001164637
6616-250073854
6515-26032770
6414-2711783
6313-28001090
6212-290595
6111-30298
6010-310100
50-59100
Total:000000000000000001123581216211813