"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

New York Yankees Playoff Chances 2014

Beating Orioles 2-0 (End 4th), playoff odds down 0.02 to 4.2%
61-57   .517

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees 3 Red Sox 2 +2.3
+0.3
Reds 12 Rays 4 +0.3
Angels 14 Mets 2 -0.1
MondayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10544-0In8614300
9736-8In11899
9635-9In95522
9534-10In29332116
9433-11In84276350
9332-1299.1%74391211,213
9231-1397.0577102333,313
9130-1492.3399935808,250
9029-1582.52311643170019,022
8928-1666.51010343312039,229
8827-1745.2371334590073,143
8726-1825.314020502230125,139
8625-1910.4020941381010194,174
8524-203.2000324452440273,097
8423-210.60011037401310350,519
8322-220.100321452830411,007
8221-230.000083645110439,617
8120-240.000220512510427,374
8019-25Out008444440380,915
7918-26Out0228581100307,265
7817-27Out0013602420227,233
7716-28Out005503780151,923
7615-29Out013246182091,607
7514-30Out01744317050,557
7413-31Out07344216024,937
7312-32Out3204531110,829
7211-33Out110404824,378
7110-34Out04276461,509
709-35Out11371150482
698-36Out66826133
687-37Out6593534
676-38Out33673
665-39Out1001
610-44Out2872300
Total:4.2%01103814192421720003,618,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees 3 Red Sox 2 -0.5
MondayNone

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10544-08614
9736-8114444
9635-95941
9534-1023353112
9433-1123402961
9332-1212343416301
9231-13419362710103
9130-14172233227180
9029-15028232816400170
8928-16029202211203120
8827-17002715156146800
8726-18001510725121300
8625-190001343403711100
8524-20000122141268100
8423-210000062635228200
8322-2200018243123102000
8221-230018203025123000
8120-2400016182927144100
8019-250015162929164100
7918-260014152930164000
7817-27001416313015300
7716-28001518332912200
7615-2900162235268100
7514-300019263622610
7413-3100212313416300
7312-320041835301120
7211-33016243823710
7110-34021130371740
709-3503163530124
698-36623382482
687-379472915
676-386733
665-39100
610-4433859
Total:000001111081010101010109864210000000