Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances 2014

Losing to Yankees 0-2 (End 4th), playoff odds down 0.02 to 96.9%
68-50   .576

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles 3 Blue Jays 11 -3.1
-0.4
Reds 12 Rays 4 +0.3
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles 7 Rays 1 +2.0
+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
107-112In100314*
10638-6In97370
10537-7In8515296
10436-8In7921944
10335-9In69312,890
10234-10In56447,963
10133-11In4456019,447
10032-12In3169041,495
9931-13In217900078,658
9830-14In128800134,357
9729-15In69310206,500
9628-16In39610288,998
9527-17In196300365,685
9426-18100.0%0937000419,760
9325-19100.008713000440,324
9224-20100.0077220100421,852
9123-2199.8063350100366,861
9022-2298.9464814100292,997
8921-2396.0296017400212,956
8820-2487.815640910200140,959
8719-2571.6557091981085,442
8618-2649.314206242150047,432
8517-2726.2024022035173023,688
8416-2810.4010110343511110,857
8315-292.7303204129404,478
8214-300.201631451611,648
8113-31Out11448343584
8012-32Out4355281195
7911-33Out215618539
7810-34Out1429577
779-35Out50504
680-44Out71271300
Total:96.9%272210221000000003,618,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs