Chicago White Sox Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Lost to Giants 1-7, playoff odds down 0.6 to 1.3%

57-64 .471

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
White Sox 4 Indians 3	+2.9		+0.3

Monday	None

What If

Chances based on how well the White Sox finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

98		41	-	0	In		94	6														100
93		36	-	5	In		100															1
92		35	-	6	In			67	33													6
91		34	-	7	In			56	44													9
90		33	-	8	In			54	40	6												52
89		32	-	9	98.5	%	1	47	41	3	7	2										194
88		31	-	10	96.8			32	48	4	13	3	0									616
87		30	-	11	84.5			13	49	2	20	13	2	0								1,744
86		29	-	12	67.4			5	40	1	21	24	7	1	0							4,375
85		28	-	13	40.5			1	25	0	14	33	21	5	0							9,641
84		27	-	14	17.5			0	12	0	6	26	35	18	3	0	0					19,355
83		26	-	15	5.1				4	0	1	12	33	34	13	2	0					34,772
82		25	-	16	1.1				1		0	3	17	38	32	9	1	0				56,607
81		24	-	17	0.1				0			0	5	23	42	26	4	0	0			82,748
80		23	-	18	0.0				0			0	1	8	32	43	16	1	0			111,479
79		22	-	19	Out								0	2	15	43	34	6	0			134,396
78		21	-	20	Out								0	0	4	29	48	17	2	0		147,561
77		20	-	21	Out									0	1	13	46	32	7	0		147,290
76		19	-	22	Out										0	5	34	44	17	1	0	133,404
75		18	-	23	Out										0	1	19	45	32	3	0	111,027
74		17	-	24	Out											0	9	37	46	8	0	82,744
73		16	-	25	Out											0	3	24	54	18	1	56,752
72		15	-	26	Out											0	1	13	53	31	3	34,820
71		14	-	27	Out												0	5	43	44	7	19,453
70		13	-	28	Out												0	2	29	53	16	9,567
69		12	-	29	Out												0	0	17	57	26	4,548
68		11	-	30	Out													0	8	50	42	1,721
67		10	-	31	Out														4	39	57	666
66		9	-	32	Out														0	26	74	203
65		8	-	33	Out															23	78	40
64		7	-	34	Out															13	88	8
57	-63				Out																100	101	*

Total:					1.3	%	0	0	1	0	0	1	3	6	10	17	23	20	14	4	1	1,206,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
White Sox 4 Indians 3	-0.7

Monday	None

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

98	41	-	0	94	6
93	36	-	5	100
92	35	-	6		33	67
91	34	-	7		22	33	33	11
90	33	-	8		12	27	29	27	6
89	32	-	9		2	13	27	36	14	7				2
88	31	-	10		0	3	15	26	28	18	5	1		3	0
87	30	-	11			0	3	12	23	25	16	5	0	14	2	0
86	29	-	12			0	0	2	8	18	21	13	4	25	7	1
85	28	-	13					0	1	5	11	15	8	32	22	5	1	0	0
84	27	-	14						0	0	2	6	9	21	33	20	7	1	0	0
83	26	-	15							0	0	1	4	7	22	30	21	11	3	1	0	0
82	25	-	16									0	1	1	5	16	26	25	17	7	2	0	0
81	24	-	17										0	0	0	3	10	20	27	23	12	4	1	0	0
80	23	-	18										0		0	0	1	5	14	25	27	18	7	2	0	0	0
79	22	-	19													0	0	0	3	10	21	28	23	12	3	0	0	0
78	21	-	20														0	0	0	1	6	17	28	27	15	5	1	0	0
77	20	-	21																0	0	1	4	14	27	29	18	5	1	0	0
76	19	-	22																	0	0	1	3	13	27	31	19	6	1	0	0
75	18	-	23																		0	0	0	3	13	27	31	19	6	1	0	0
74	17	-	24																			0	0	0	3	13	29	31	17	5	1	0
73	16	-	25																				0	0	0	4	15	30	31	15	3	0	0
72	15	-	26																						0	1	5	18	32	29	12	2	0
71	14	-	27																						0	0	1	7	22	36	26	7	1
70	13	-	28																							0	0	2	10	29	38	18	3
69	12	-	29																									1	3	17	39	31	8
68	11	-	30																									0	1	6	30	43	20
67	10	-	31																											2	18	45	35
66	9	-	32																												7	40	53
65	8	-	33																												5	18	78
64	7	-	34																														100
63	6	-	35																													100
57	0	-	41																														100

Total:				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	3	4	5	7	8	9	10	10	10	9	7	5	3	1	1	0