Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Tied with Athletics 0-0 (Top 1st), playoff odds down 0.5 to 59.1%
64-54   .542

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twins 4 Royals 3 -2.6
-0.3
Angels 14 Mets 2 -0.3
Padres 5 Tigers 1 +0.3
MondayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
101-108In100101*
10036-8In901010
9935-9In891147
9834-10In8911187
9733-11In81181541
9632-12In653311,501
9531-13In5147203,532
9430-14In35596007,896
9329-15In2168110015,781
9228-16100.0%10692010028,590
9127-17100.04623021047,384
9026-1899.715042340070,465
8925-1998.803551481096,419
8824-2095.302157314400120,857
8723-2186.60105521912200137,826
8622-2269.644611922710143,631
8521-2347.01330133019400137,635
8420-2425.10190626331420120,878
8319-2510.4090214363091096,227
8218-263.030042340254070,824
8117-270.610183141162047,454
8016-280.1002134034101028,856
7915-29Out0032243265015,638
7814-30Out007324118207,854
7713-31Out021438361003,533
7612-32Out0426432521,484
7511-33Out21040426505
7410-34Out6265414174
739-35Out244430254
728-36Out58251712
717-37Out2550254
640-44Out496100
Total:59.1%11532191211853100001,206,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs