American League Playoff Chances 2014

Indians +1.6, Tigers -0.6
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-LPCTGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Athletics273-46.613175100.0%91206000000001.21.649Oakland Athletics
Orioles368-50.5765696.9-0.0272210221000000002.42.550Baltimore Orioles
Angels369-49.5858596.9-0.0610771321000000004.03.573Los Angeles Angels
Mariners264-55.5388762.0-0.300014482011521000005.5-0.0110.584Seattle Mariners
Royals364-54.5421859.5-0.5012361101712731000004.7-0.034.517Kansas City Royals
Tigers463-54.5383754.6-0.6010341101813842000005.0-0.045.532Detroit Tigers
Blue Jays63-58.5211613.9-0.1022110192319158200007.3-0.036.514Toronto Blue Jays
Indians260-59.5041010.3+1.6016031017242212410007.8+0.2011.509Cleveland Indians
Yankees361-57.517-334.2-0.001103814192421720008.5-0.039.470New York Yankees
Rays258-61.48791.6-0.000001491522311241009.2-0.0315.508Tampa Bay Rays
White Sox57-64.471-600.0-0.0000000014113129212011.5-0.2822.450Chicago White Sox
Twins254-65.454-370.0+0.000000001282731283011.8+0.1718.468Minnesota Twins
Red Sox254-65.454-550.0+0.000000000151730396012.2+0.1820.450Boston Red Sox
Astros50-71.413-920.0000000000028652514.1-0.1225.422Houston Astros
Rangers247-72.395-1220.00000000001247414.7+0.0326.399Texas Rangers

We use the real MLB tiebreakers.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Mariners 0 Athletics 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics+3.9
+0.4
Mariners-3.6
-0.3
Orioles 3 Blue Jays 11
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles-3.1
-0.4
Blue Jays+3.2
+0.4
White Sox 4 Indians 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Indians-2.5
-0.3
White Sox+2.6
+0.3
Reds 12 Rays 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics+0.2
Orioles+0.3
Mariners*+0.2
Tigers+0.2
Blue Jays+0.4
Yankees+0.3
Rays-2.6
-0.2
Twins*+0.2
Red Sox+0.3
Rangers+0.1
Padres 5 Tigers 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics+0.2
Angels+0.2
Mariners+0.2
Royals+0.2
Tigers-2.6
-0.2
Indians+0.3
White Sox+0.3
Twins+0.4
Red Sox*+0.1
Yankees 3 Red Sox 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees+2.3
+0.3
Red Sox-2.0
-0.3
Twins 4 Royals 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals-1.4
-0.2
Tigers*-0.1
Indians-0.2
Twins+2.3
+0.3
Angels 14 Mets 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics-0.3
Angels+2.2
+0.2
Mariners-0.3
Tigers*-0.2
Yankees-0.1
White Sox*-0.1
Twins-0.2
Astros-0.1
Rangers-0.2
Rangers 1 Astros 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Astros-1.2
-0.2
Rangers+1.7
+0.3
Monday
Angels 2 Athletics 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics+3.7
+0.3
Angels-3.7
-0.4
Rangers 1 Mariners 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics-0.2
Mariners+3.4
+0.3
Rangers-2.5
-0.3
Orioles 7 Rays 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles+2.0
+0.3
Rays-2.7
-0.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.