Major League Baseball Playoff Chances 2014

Giants +7.9, Reds -6.6
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-LPCTGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Athletics273-46.613175100.0%91206000000001.21.649Oakland Athletics
Dodgers69-52.5705899.3-0.05725115210000000001.7-0.037.553Los Angeles Dodgers
Nationals464-53.5478597.6-0.12936321111000000002.212.579Washington Nationals
Orioles368-50.5765696.9-0.0272210221000000002.42.550Baltimore Orioles
Angels369-49.5858596.9-0.0610771321000000004.03.573Los Angeles Angels
Brewers166-54.5503384.4-0.181927171484210000003.713.529Milwaukee Brewers
Pirates364-54.5421869.4-0.1411142119149521000004.6+0.0114.516Pittsburgh Pirates
Giants163-57.5252863.4+7.923233231710531000005.2+0.3316.526San Francisco Giants
Mariners264-55.5388762.0-0.300014482011521000005.5-0.0110.584Seattle Mariners
Royals364-54.5421859.5-0.5012361101712731000004.7-0.034.517Kansas City Royals
Tigers463-54.5383754.6-0.6010341101813842000005.0-0.045.532Detroit Tigers
Cardinals362-56.525-1144.0-0.5148131820151063100005.9+0.018.489St. Louis Cardinals
Reds259-60.4962619.5-6.60135101518181410510007.3-0.4017.525Cincinnati Reds
Blue Jays63-58.5211613.9-0.1022110192319158200007.3-0.036.514Toronto Blue Jays
Braves260-59.504-312.6-0.2012371217181713910007.9+0.0321.497Atlanta Braves
Indians260-59.5041010.3+1.6016031017242212410007.8+0.2011.509Cleveland Indians
Marlins259-60.496-315.1-0.1001136121620201731008.9+0.0323.472Miami Marlins
Yankees361-57.517-334.2-0.001103814192421720008.5-0.039.470New York Yankees
Padres356-62.475-122.6-0.100012471218242462109.5+0.0224.488San Diego Padres
Mets157-63.475-42.2-0.000001481218232661009.5+0.0319.496New York Mets
Rays258-61.48791.6-0.000001491522311241009.2-0.0315.508Tampa Bay Rays
White Sox57-64.471-600.0-0.0000000014113129212011.5-0.2822.450Chicago White Sox
Twins254-65.454-370.0+0.000000001282731283011.8+0.1718.468Minnesota Twins
Cubs351-67.432-460.0-0.000000000127332922712.8+0.0427.458Chicago Cubs
Red Sox254-65.454-550.0+0.000000000151730396012.2+0.1820.450Boston Red Sox
Phillies153-67.442-750.0-0.000000000025283125812.9+0.0428.434Philadelphia Phillies
Diamondbacks251-68.429-840.0000000000131927321813.4-0.1129.428Arizona Diamondbacks
Rockies246-73.387-760.00000000000039206714.5+0.0230.440Colorado Rockies
Astros50-71.413-920.0000000000028652514.1-0.1225.422Houston Astros
Rangers247-72.395-1220.00000000001247414.7+0.0326.399Texas Rangers

We use the real MLB tiebreakers.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Mariners 0 Athletics 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics+3.9
+0.4
Mariners-3.6
-0.3
Angels 14 Mets 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics-0.3
Nationals+0.2
Angels+2.2
+0.2
Pirates+0.2
Giants+0.2
Mariners-0.3
Tigers*-0.2
Braves+0.2
Marlins+0.2
Mets-1.8
-0.2
Twins-0.2
Phillies+0.2
Rockies+0.2
Rangers-0.2
Orioles 3 Blue Jays 11
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles-3.1
-0.4
Blue Jays+3.2
+0.4
Reds 12 Rays 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics+0.2
Orioles+0.3
Brewers-0.2
Pirates-0.2
Mariners*+0.2
Tigers+0.2
Reds+1.2
+0.2
Blue Jays+0.4
Yankees+0.3
Rays-2.6
-0.2
Twins*+0.2
Red Sox+0.3
Padres 5 Tigers 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics+0.2
Angels+0.2
Giants-0.2
Mariners+0.2
Royals+0.2
Tigers-2.6
-0.2
Indians+0.3
Padres+1.3
+0.2
White Sox+0.3
Twins+0.4
Rockies-0.2
Braves 10 Nationals 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals-2.9
-0.2
Braves+2.9
+0.3
Diamondbacks 6 Dodgers 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dodgers+3.2
+0.3
Pirates-0.2
Giants-0.5
Cardinals-0.2
Padres-0.2
Mets-0.2
Diamondbacks-0.8
-0.2
Rockies-0.4
Giants 5 Rockies 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants+2.8
+0.3
Rockies-2.6
-0.3
White Sox 4 Indians 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Indians-2.5
-0.3
White Sox+2.6
+0.3
Brewers 4 Pirates 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brewers+1.9
+0.2
Pirates-2.5
-0.2
Yankees 3 Red Sox 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees+2.3
+0.3
Red Sox-2.0
-0.3
Phillies 4 Marlins 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Marlins-2.2
-0.3
Phillies+2.0
+0.3
Twins 4 Royals 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals-1.4
-0.2
Indians-0.2
Twins+2.3
+0.3
Cardinals 6 Cubs 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals+2.3
+0.3
Cubs-1.7
-0.2
Rangers 1 Astros 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Astros-1.2
-0.2
Rangers+1.7
+0.3
Monday
Angels 2 Athletics 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics+3.7
+0.3
Angels-3.7
-0.4
Brewers 0 Cardinals 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Brewers-2.6
-0.2
Giants-0.2
Cardinals+3.5
+0.4
Marlins-0.2
Marlins 2 Nationals 9
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals+3.7
+0.3
Braves-0.2
Marlins-2.8
-0.3
Phillies 6 Braves 9
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves+3.5
+0.3
Phillies-2.8
-0.3
Rangers 1 Mariners 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Athletics-0.2
Mariners+3.4
+0.3
Rangers-2.5
-0.3
Reds 7 Pirates 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates+3.1
+0.3
Reds-2.5
-0.3
Orioles 7 Rays 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles+2.0
+0.3
Rays-2.7
-0.3
Padres 5 Rockies 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Padres+1.7
+0.3
Rockies-2.4
-0.3
Diamondbacks 3 Mets 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals-0.2
Braves-0.2
Mets+1.7
+0.3
Diamondbacks-0.6
-0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Adam Veenendaal for adding this league.