SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

South Korea Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Plays Belgium, playoff odds up 0.0005 to 12.5%

1 points 0-1-1

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 6/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Russia 1 South Korea 1	-1.0		-0.0
Belgium 2 Algeria 1	-0.3

Week of 6/19	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
South Korea 2 Algeria 4	-40.2		-0.8
Belgium 1 Russia 0	+1.1		+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 6/26	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
South Korea vs Belgium	+19.0OutOut		+0.6-0.3-0.5
Algeria vs Russia	Out+15.1+4.7		+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the South Korea finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

4		1	-	0	-	0	31.5	%		31	69		2,993,945
2		0	-	1	-	0	Out				40	60	1,548,487
1		0	-	0	-	1	Out				17	83	2,995,008

Total:							12.5	%		13	42	45	7,537,440

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Russia 1 South Korea 1	+0.8
Iran 0 Nigeria 0	-0.1
Belgium 2 Algeria 1	+0.1
Australia 2 Netherlands 3	-0.0
Spain 0 Chile 2	-0.0

Week of 6/19	100.0*	Lottery seed
South Korea 2 Algeria 4	+6.2
Japan 1 Colombia 4	-0.3
Cameroon 1 Brazil 4	-0.2
Honduras 0 Switzerland 3	-0.2
Greece 2 Ivory Coast 1	+0.2
Belgium 1 Russia 0	+0.1
Nigeria 2 Argentina 3	-0.1
Costa Rica 0 England 0	+0.1
United States 2 Portugal 2	-0.1
Ecuador 0 France 0	-0.0
Argentina 1 Iran 0	-0.0
Croatia 1 Mexico 3	-0.0
Germany 2 Ghana 2	-0.0
Italy 0 Costa Rica 1	+0.0
Italy 0 Uruguay 1	+0.0

Week of 6/26	100.0*	Lottery seed
United States 0 Germany 1	-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
South Korea vs Belgium	-6.8+1.9+5.8
Algeria vs Russia	+0.3-0.5-0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

4		1	-	0	-	0													31				56	13
2		0	-	1	-	0																								40	60
1		0	-	0	-	1																										4	12	18	66

Total:																			13				22	5						8	12	2	5	7	26