Cincinnati Reds Playoff Chances 2014-7

Beating Brewers 5-1 (Bot 9th), playoff odds unchanged at 0.005%
70-78   .473

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates 2 Reds 1 -0.5
-0.2
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7 +0.1
Braves 5 Marlins 2 -0.1
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates 3 Reds 2 -0.3
-0.2
Braves 0 Marlins 4 +0.1
-0.1
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5 +0.1
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2 -0.1
Padres 2 Dodgers 1 -0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates 2 Reds 1 +0.4
Rays 4 Red Sox 8 -0.1
Padres 3 Dodgers 2 +0.1
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates 3 Reds 2 +0.4
Padres 2 Dodgers 1 +0.1
Braves 0 Marlins 4 +0.1
Rays 7 Red Sox 0 +0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.