San Diego Padres Playoff Chances 2014-6 50/50

Losing to Diamondbacks 2-7 (Top 6th), playoff odds unchanged at 0.0004%

68-78 .466

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Padres 3 Dodgers 2	+0.2		+0.3

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Padres 2 Dodgers 1	+0.2		+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

84	16	-	0	2.2	%				0	2	47	43	9								270
83	15	-	1	0.6						1	24	55	20	0							637
82	14	-	2	Out							8	44	44	4	0						4,975
81	13	-	3	Out							1	24	60	15	1	0					23,390
80	12	-	4	Out							0	7	50	37	5	0					75,209
79	11	-	5	Out							0	1	25	50	21	2	0				180,649
78	10	-	6	Out								0	7	36	42	14	1	0			332,469
77	9	-	7	Out								0	1	13	42	37	7	0			474,315
76	8	-	8	Out									0	2	20	48	29	1			533,088
75	7	-	9	Out									0	0	5	32	58	5			473,147
74	6	-	10	Out										0	1	12	70	18	0		330,650
73	5	-	11	Out											0	2	60	38	0		180,385
72	4	-	12	Out												0	40	59	1		75,098
71	3	-	13	Out												0	22	74	4	0	23,323
70	2	-	14	Out													9	76	15	0	4,908
69	1	-	15	Out													2	58	38	2	719
68	0	-	16	Out													0	22	63	14	268

Total:				0.0	%				0	0	0	1	5	12	19	25	31	8	0	0	2,713,500

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Padres 3 Dodgers 2	-0.5

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Padres 2 Dodgers 1	-0.5

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

84	16	-	0									0	2		5	23	39	26	6
83	15	-	1									0	0		0	4	23	44	24	4	0
82	14	-	2												0	0	6	28	45	19	1
81	13	-	3													0	0	8	38	45	8	0
80	12	-	4														0	1	14	50	30	4	0	0
79	11	-	5															0	2	26	46	22	4	0	0
78	10	-	6																0	6	29	40	20	4	0	0
77	9	-	7																0	0	7	26	38	23	5	0	0
76	8	-	8																	0	0	6	23	40	26	5	0	0
75	7	-	9																		0	0	5	23	45	22	4	0	0
74	6	-	10																			0	0	5	32	40	18	4	0	0
73	5	-	11																				0	0	11	33	35	17	4	0
72	4	-	12																					0	2	13	31	35	18	2	0
71	3	-	13																						0	2	12	32	39	14	1
70	2	-	14																						0	0	2	13	39	38	7	0
69	1	-	15																									1	18	49	31	2
68	0	-	16																										4	22	57	18

Total:												0	0		0	0	0	0	1	4	9	12	15	17	19	12	6	3	1	0	0	0