San Diego Padres Playoff Chances 2014-6

Losing to Diamondbacks 2-7 (Top 6th), playoff odds unchanged at 0.0003%
68-78   .466

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Padres 3 Dodgers 2 +0.1
+0.2
Braves 5 Marlins 2 +0.0
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Padres 2 Dodgers 1 +0.1
+0.2
Braves 0 Marlins 4 -0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
8416-02.4%243468797
8315-10.3022542401,115
8214-20.0074249209,378
8113-3Out1216611049,391
8012-4Out07593130178,457
7911-5Out0134491410472,984
7810-6Out012463570946,394
779-7Out02244626201,454,198
768-8Out0633501101,744,589
757-9Out0112503711,629,741
746-10Out022765601,189,567
735-11Out00873190670,395
724-12Out0161370285,205
713-13Out04157188,679
702-14Out22726019,081
691-15Out8712112,498
680-16Out242515911
Total:0.0%0005142129264008,743,380
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Padres 3 Dodgers 2 -0.4
Braves 5 Marlins 2 -0.0
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Padres 2 Dodgers 1 -0.4
Braves 0 Marlins 4 +0.1
Rays 7 Red Sox 0 +0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8416-020422402460
8315-10162243244
8214-2001528422310
8113-30183448900
8012-4001135230400
7911-50229462030
7810-600834401620
779-7011135381510
768-8011236401110
757-9001134237600
746-100021854243000
735-11003374215300
724-120013373314300
713-13021533321530
702-14031432341610
691-1502123441110
680-1611240425
Total:000000149141821209310000