Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 2014-6 50/50

Beat Marlins 2-1, playoff odds unchanged at 0.0001%

69-79 .466

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Average seed
Mets 4 Phillies 1	-0.3
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7	-0.1

Saturday	100.0*	Average seed
Mets 2 Phillies 7	+0.3
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2	+0.1
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5	-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

83	14	-	0	0.5	%					1	32	65	3								377
82	13	-	1	0.0						0	10	66	23	1							2,302
81	12	-	2	Out							3	42	49	7	0						15,116
80	11	-	3	Out							0	15	57	26	2	0					60,494
79	10	-	4	Out							0	2	33	47	16	2	0				165,953
78	9	-	5	Out							0	0	9	39	38	12	1	0			331,736
77	8	-	6	Out								0	1	15	41	35	8	0			496,448
76	7	-	7	Out									0	2	20	47	30	1			567,945
75	6	-	8	Out									0	0	5	31	58	6			497,732
74	5	-	9	Out										0	0	11	69	19	0		331,778
73	4	-	10	Out											0	2	59	38	0		165,518
72	3	-	11	Out												0	40	59	0		60,323
71	2	-	12	Out													22	76	2		15,025
70	1	-	13	Out													10	83	8		2,359
69	0	-	14	Out													3	80	17		394

Total:				0.0	%					0	0	1	5	12	18	25	32	8	0		2,713,500

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Mets 4 Phillies 1	+0.5
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7	+0.1
Padres 3 Dodgers 2	+0.1

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Mets 2 Phillies 7	-0.5
White Sox 4 Tigers 8	-0.1
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2	-0.1
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5	+0.1
White Sox 6 Tigers 3	+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

83	14	-	0										1		1	9	31	36	23	2
82	13	-	1										0			1	9	31	44	14	1
81	12	-	2													0	1	11	40	40	9	0	0
80	11	-	3														0	1	15	47	32	4	0
79	10	-	4															0	2	24	46	23	4	0	0
78	9	-	5																0	5	28	39	22	5	0	0
77	8	-	6																0	0	7	25	38	25	5	0	0	0
76	7	-	7																	0	1	5	23	40	25	5	0	0
75	6	-	8																		0	0	5	24	42	25	4	0	0	0
74	5	-	9																			0	0	6	28	42	20	4	0	0
73	4	-	10																				0	1	9	32	37	18	3	0
72	3	-	11																					0	1	13	32	36	16	2	0
71	2	-	12																						0	3	15	33	37	11	0
70	1	-	13																							0	3	16	45	34	2
69	0	-	14																								1	5	32	52	10

Total:													0		0	0	0	0	1	3	8	12	16	19	18	13	6	3	1	0	0