Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2014-6

Beating Mets 7-3 (Top 8th), playoff odds up 0.01 to 99.98%
83-63   .568

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 3 Nationals 8 +0.4
+0.1
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7 +0.1
Braves 5 Marlins 2 -0.1
Pirates 2 Reds 1 -0.0
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 1 Nationals 3 +0.2
+0.1
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5 +0.1
Braves 0 Marlins 4 +0.1
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2 -0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
98-99In10020,480*
9714-2In100099,477
9613-3In1000330,503
9512-4In9730766,514
9411-5In891101,306,178
9310-6In702911,699,495
929-7In415461,707,815
918-8In1567181,349,863
907-9In35938840,882
896-10100.0%03862000410,127
885-11100.001881000155,303
874-1299.5692010044,747
863-1395.319004409,685
852-1478.1074417401,446
841-1537.73443528138
830-1610.71101945242727
Total:100.0%5136130000008,743,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs