New York Mets Playoff Chances 2014-6

Losing to Nationals 3-7 (Top 8th), playoff odds up 0.0007 to 0.02%
72-76   .486

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Average seed
Mets 4 Phillies 1 +0.2
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7 -0.1
Padres 3 Dodgers 2 -0.1
Saturday100.0*Average seed
Mets 2 Phillies 7 -0.3
Braves 0 Marlins 4 -0.1
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5 -0.1
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2 +0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Mets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
8614-024.8%20226871,036
8513-18.818682204,995
8412-21.6015144335,775
8311-30.1002659150157,627
8210-40.009533800469,236
819-50.00231652001,002,508
808-6Out0117612001,579,523
797-7Out0262314001,873,380
786-8Out0344718201,675,849
775-9Out010393912001,127,661
764-10Out117433440559,605
753-11Out032452201199,846
742-12Out074346548,135
731-13Out012261167,040
720-14Out0757361,164
Total:0.0%0001104524136108,743,380
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Mets 4 Phillies 1 -0.3
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7 +0.1
Padres 3 Dodgers 2 +0.1
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Mets 2 Phillies 7 +0.5
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5 +0.1
Braves 0 Marlins 4 +0.1
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2 -0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8614-012410382160
8513-109222372450
8412-2020524402450
8311-3000625422340
8210-4000629442100
819-5000183652300
808-601156915100
797-70035335810
786-800244227600
775-905244026500
764-10052442254000
753-110052643215100
742-12006273622710
731-130722342791
720-141418373191
Total:00000141036221484100000