Atlanta Braves Playoff Chances 2014-6 50/50

Lost to Rangers 2-3, playoff odds down 2.7 to 4.7%

75-73 .507

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Braves 5 Marlins 2	+6.4		+0.3
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7	+1.3
Pirates 2 Reds 1	-1.2
Giants 13 Brewers 2	-0.5
Mariners 3 Nationals 8	-0.3
Padres 3 Dodgers 2	+0.3

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Braves 0 Marlins 4	-6.6		-0.3
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5	+1.6
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2	-1.6
Pirates 3 Reds 2	-1.4
Padres 2 Dodgers 1	+0.2
Mariners 1 Nationals 3	-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Braves finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

89	14	-	0	In		0	23	16	27	33											380
88	13	-	1	98.2	%	0	8	11	17	63	2										2,258
87	12	-	2	87.5			1	5	6	75	12	0									15,152
86	11	-	3	60.0			0	2	1	57	37	3									60,054
85	10	-	4	27.4			0	0	0	27	58	14	0								165,776
84	9	-	5	7.3			0	0	0	7	54	39	0								332,236
83	8	-	6	1.0				0		1	33	65	1	0							496,779
82	7	-	7	0.1						0	15	77	8	0	0						567,109
81	6	-	8	0.0						0	4	69	25	2	0						498,346
80	5	-	9	Out							1	41	47	11	1	0					331,657
79	4	-	10	Out							0	13	46	33	7	1	0				165,925
78	3	-	11	Out								2	20	43	28	7	0				60,123
77	2	-	12	Out								0	3	23	42	27	5	0			14,967
76	1	-	13	Out									0	6	24	46	23	1			2,339
75	0	-	14	Out										1	4	40	49	6			399

Total:				4.7	%	0	0	0	0	4	21	52	16	5	1	0	0	0			2,713,500

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Braves 5 Marlins 2	-0.6
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7	-0.1
Pirates 2 Reds 1	+0.1

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Braves 0 Marlins 4	+0.6
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5	-0.1
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2	+0.1
Pirates 3 Reds 2	+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

89	14	-	0				2	10	22	25	23	15	3
88	13	-	1					1	4	13	29	34	18	2	0	0
87	12	-	2					0	0	1	9	31	46	8	4	1	0
86	11	-	3							0	1	10	50	9	18	10	3	0	0
85	10	-	4								0	1	26	3	22	29	15	4	0
84	9	-	5								0	0	7	0	8	28	35	18	4	0
83	8	-	6									0	1	0	1	10	31	39	17	0	0
82	7	-	7										0		0	2	12	41	41	4	0	0
81	6	-	8										0		0	0	2	20	55	21	2	0	0
80	5	-	9													0	0	4	37	44	13	1	0	0
79	4	-	10														0	0	10	39	37	12	2	0	0
78	3	-	11															0	1	12	34	35	15	3	0
77	2	-	12																	1	9	29	36	21	4	0
76	1	-	13																		1	7	25	38	24	5	0
75	0	-	14																			1	3	24	47	22	3	1

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	3	8	14	22	27	13	5	2	1	0	0	0	0	0