"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Cincinnati Reds Playoff Chances 2014-6

Beating Brewers 5-1 (Mid 8th), playoff odds unchanged at 0.003%
70-78   .473

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates 2 Reds 1 -0.5
-0.2
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7 +0.1
Braves 5 Marlins 2 -0.1
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates 3 Reds 2 -0.3
-0.2
Braves 0 Marlins 4 +0.1
-0.1
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5 +0.1
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2 -0.1
Padres 2 Dodgers 1 -0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
8414-011.7%111701811,124
8313-11.5014842806,020
8212-20.101948312041,432
8111-3Out428571000171,249
8010-4Out08583130490,859
799-5Out01355113101,016,293
788-6Out0125033501,572,826
777-7Out02285019101,843,147
766-8Out084243601,646,669
755-9Out0119552411,116,933
744-10Out04404870567,053
733-11Out01757250208,079
722-12Out044254052,216
711-13Out1198008,160
700-14Out059321,320
Total:0.0%0001112429239208,743,380
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates 2 Reds 1 +0.4
Rays 4 Red Sox 8 -0.1
Padres 3 Dodgers 2 +0.1
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates 3 Reds 2 +0.4
Braves 0 Marlins 4 +0.1
Padres 2 Dodgers 1 +0.1
Rays 7 Red Sox 0 +0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8414-00110103232122
8313-1012133235151
8212-20021131391610
8111-301933451210
8010-40194536810
799-5001204628500
788-6004274322400
777-700731421810
766-801937431010
755-901144831600
744-10022644224000
733-1106303919500
722-1201830362050
711-1301827362340
700-140172645200
Total:0000000171420222110310000