Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2014-6

Losing to Cubs 0-6 (Bot 8th), playoff odds up 2 to 85.6%
79-69   .534

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates 2 Reds 1 +4.6
+0.2
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7 +1.9
+0.1
Braves 5 Marlins 2 -1.1
Giants 13 Brewers 2 -0.2
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates 3 Reds 2 +4.9
+0.2
Braves 0 Marlins 4 +2.2
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5 +1.9
+0.1
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2 -1.3
-0.0
Padres 2 Dodgers 1 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9415-0In6334301,579
9314-1In3649131011,577
9213-2In1445364170,736
9112-3In3255894262,755
9011-4100.0%086312170666,361
8910-5100.00249103901,227,335
889-699.5031563001,695,420
878-796.1014280401,791,806
867-883.0050781611,458,227
856-955.810553950913,257
845-1025.0002553220437,474
834-116.2006425110156,815
823-120.7118775041,161
812-130.004771817,296
801-14Out0553771816
790-15Out2249254765
Total:85.6%02244561130008,743,380
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates 2 Reds 1 -0.4
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7 -0.1
Braves 5 Marlins 2 +0.0
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates 3 Reds 2 -0.4
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5 -0.1
Braves 0 Marlins 4 -0.1
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2 +0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9415-03583440
9314-11284622400
9213-2072837216100
9112-30172333251020
9011-40041630311630
8910-500021028392100
889-6000183555000
878-7001158012000
867-800380295100
856-900551131810200
845-100250622291530
834-11060182838180
823-1210110384730
812-1300118651420
801-14452331010
790-15021392992
Total:001135817511443210000