St. Louis Cardinals Playoff Chances 2014-6

Beating Rockies 5-1 (Bot 8th), playoff odds up 0.3 to 97.2%
81-67   .547

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7 -7.1
-0.3
Braves 5 Marlins 2 -1.4
Pirates 2 Reds 1 -1.2
Giants 13 Brewers 2 -0.3
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5 -7.3
-0.3
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2 +5.0
+0.2
Braves 0 Marlins 4 +2.4
Pirates 3 Reds 2 -1.3
-0.0
Giants 3 Brewers 1 +0.2
+0.0
Padres 2 Dodgers 1 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9514-0In841513,364
9413-1In62344029,551
9312-2In35491600150,652
9211-3In13483900473,308
9110-4In33263111,016,339
909-5In01677351,584,490
898-6100.0%067631501,850,362
887-799.8026323301,646,024
876-897.7042154201,114,127
865-987.2021066130575,860
854-1062.107055362222,162
843-1131.010305811062,985
832-129.1095932012,020
821-131.724055301,336
810-14Out2062162800
Total:97.2%2125822330008,743,380
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7 +0.6
Braves 5 Marlins 2 +0.0
Pirates 2 Reds 1 +0.0
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5 +0.6
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2 -0.4
Braves 0 Marlins 4 -0.1
Pirates 3 Reds 2 +0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9514-01570141
9413-145633600
9312-21274124610
9211-3062435259100
9110-40161932291320
909-50004143035171
898-60002123545600
887-700021661210000
876-8004504311000
865-900276017410
854-10095411317710
843-110130092626700
832-1209215382970
821-13242145262
810-14052551162
Total:013581219331601100000