Seattle Mariners Playoff Chances 2014-6

Beating Athletics 1-0 (Top 4th), playoff odds down 3.1 to 46.1%
80-66   .548

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 3 Nationals 8 -7.0
-0.2
White Sox 1 Tigers 7 -2.9
Royals 1 Indians 6 +0.6
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 6 -0.4
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 1 Nationals 3 -7.2
-0.2
White Sox 6 Tigers 3 +2.8
White Sox 4 Tigers 8 -2.5
Royals 2 Indians 3 +0.9
Blue Jays 2 Yankees 0 +0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Mariners finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9616-0In91477878
9515-1In14952,322
9414-2In01099117,462
9313-3In00094681,713
9212-499.9%0081190263,568
9111-598.3584020625,657
9010-690.032581001,129,574
899-768.7125731001,580,561
888-839.333758301,732,724
877-915.20157014101,490,611
866-103.5045635601,007,837
855-110.402848222525,659
844-120.00838459209,236
833-13Out1175329060,902
822-14Out054054012,359
811-15Out1217621,519
800-16Out88210798
Total:46.1%000143239114108,743,380
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners 3 Nationals 8 +0.6
White Sox 1 Tigers 7 +0.1
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Mariners 1 Nationals 3 +0.6
White Sox 6 Tigers 3 -0.1
White Sox 4 Tigers 8 +0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9616-01142452
9515-111867141
9414-205573440
9313-31314619300
9212-401034371530000
9111-5011131331751020
9010-6001924301961100
899-700151725174310
888-80003111775920
877-9000276741000
866-1000126031500
855-1100284522400
844-12006293921400
833-131727392240
822-1401828402120
811-15193145131
800-16110443681
Total:001357910944093100000