New York Yankees Playoff Chances 2014-6

Beat Orioles 3-2, playoff odds up 0.1 to 0.3%
76-71   .517

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 6 +1.5
+0.3
Mariners 3 Nationals 8 +0.5
White Sox 1 Tigers 7 -0.3
Orioles 9 Twins 1 -0.1
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blue Jays 2 Yankees 0 -1.5
-0.2
Mariners 1 Nationals 3 +0.7
White Sox 6 Tigers 3 +0.4
White Sox 4 Tigers 8 -0.4
Orioles 3 Twins 2 -0.1
Royals 2 Indians 3 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9115-093.4%32375260804
9014-172.50117542431,277
8913-242.2004374314010,508
8812-315.8011546372053,976
8711-43.604295890193,738
8610-50.4001162252505,922
859-60.000244449999,810
848-70.00021502901,516,408
837-8Out06375601,781,890
826-9Out01188011,625,304
815-10Out058861,139,358
804-11Out0179200605,415
793-12Out056430234,455
782-13Out03069062,438
771-14Out11872010,558
760-15Out292601,519
Total:0.3%000021527514008,743,380
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 6 -0.5
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Blue Jays 2 Yankees 0 +0.4

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9115-005203326807
9014-11415262250244
8913-200291911142150
8812-3001572443920
8711-40002126591100
8610-500095531400
859-60002304520300
848-700932381830
837-8011031401700
826-9002113945300
815-10002186117200
804-11004443912100
793-120015393510100
782-1302164031910
771-140320373091
760-154193932600
Total:000000002101518222472100000