Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances 2014-6

Lost to Yankees 2-3, playoff odds down 0.001 to 99.996%
88-60   .595

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles 9 Twins 1 +0.2
+0.1
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 6 -0.2
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles 3 Twins 2 +0.2
+0.1
Blue Jays 2 Yankees 0 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10214-0In83175,240
10113-1In643645,924
10012-2In4258216,828
9911-3In2377626,227
9810-4In10901,234,417
979-5In49601,756,099
968-6In19901,859,824
957-7In09911,488,517
946-8In0955906,594
935-9In08515417,257
924-10100.0%06535000143,392
913-11100.03861000035,628
902-1299.5158212006,080
891-1394.54821751605
880-1468.405701020120748
Total:100.0%5922000008,743,380
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs