Kansas City Royals Playoff Chances 2014-6

Beat Red Sox 7-1, playoff odds up 5.5 to 78.1%
81-66   .551

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals 1 Indians 6 -5.2
-0.3
Mariners 3 Nationals 8 +1.7
White Sox 1 Tigers 7 -1.4
-0.1
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 6 -0.1
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals 2 Indians 3 -6.5
-0.3
Mariners 1 Nationals 3 +2.1
White Sox 6 Tigers 3 +1.6
+0.1
White Sox 4 Tigers 8 -1.3
-0.1
Blue Jays 2 Yankees 0 +0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Royals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9716-0In176241,311
9615-1In055457,688
9514-2In03466048,250
9413-3In0178300186,598
9312-4100.0%0791100502,280
9211-599.9290620994,939
9110-699.10771012101,495,548
909-794.00541129601,741,263
898-878.203064221001,587,464
887-950.301123745501,138,405
876-1021.63019572010641,577
865-115.5005434290278,551
854-120.701185129292,100
843-130.0043552922,561
832-14Out014582703,716
821-15Out339571381
810-16Out024743748
Total:78.1%01496221741008,743,380
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Royals 1 Indians 6 +0.6
White Sox 1 Tigers 7 +0.1
Orioles 9 Twins 1 +0.0
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Royals 2 Indians 3 +0.6
White Sox 6 Tigers 3 -0.1
White Sox 4 Tigers 8 +0.1
Mariners 1 Nationals 3 -0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9716-0275230
9615-10524530
9514-202959111
9413-3115628500
9312-433442192000
9211-50113236163000
9110-6021128342050010
909-700172234246060
898-8001417331942110
887-900031522944600
876-100039105323200
865-11001435471210
854-12001114633810
843-130121422871
832-14423402760
821-15062341282
810-161929451510
Total:015912131414831651000000