Cleveland Indians Playoff Chances 2014-6

Losing to Tigers 4-5 (Bot 8th), playoff odds down 0.6 to 4.2%
76-70   .521

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals 1 Indians 6 +3.5
+0.3
Mariners 3 Nationals 8 +1.1
White Sox 1 Tigers 7 -0.7
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 6 -0.1
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Royals 2 Indians 3 +4.9
+0.3
Mariners 1 Nationals 3 +1.3
White Sox 6 Tigers 3 +1.1
White Sox 4 Tigers 8 -1.0
Blue Jays 2 Yankees 0 +0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Indians finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9317-0In9910799
9216-1In393311,217
9115-299.1%08379109,817
9014-391.90559278148,554
8913-465.70255372860170,582
8812-528.606122452610438,980
8711-66.7106345550869,886
8610-70.700114671801,345,930
859-80.0003544031,647,909
848-90.00030571201,615,123
837-10Out011583101,256,526
826-11Out0241561777,163
815-12Out020746374,493
804-13Out0672220139,414
793-14Out15049038,029
782-15Out0247607,274
771-16Out88930914
760-17Out185131770
Total:4.2%010393534171008,743,380
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Royals 1 Indians 6 -0.5
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Royals 2 Indians 3 -0.6
Mariners 1 Nationals 3 -0.1
White Sox 6 Tigers 3 -0.1
White Sox 4 Tigers 8 +0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9317-0332412040
9216-10626362560
9115-21624372471010
9014-30152133247180
8913-400314261842960
8812-50028136442610
8711-6001333155600
8610-70001116225200
859-800238451420
848-9001240351110
837-1002174132800
826-1103234328200
815-12006285015100
804-13017413812200
793-14011437331320
782-15021436341310
771-162163734111
760-171144233101
Total:00000111182623181272000000