Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 2014-5

Beating Mets 7-3 (Top 8th), playoff odds up 0.01 to 99.98%
83-63   .568

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 3 Nationals 8 +0.4
+0.1
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7 +0.1
Braves 5 Marlins 2 -0.1
Pirates 2 Reds 1 -0.0
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mariners 1 Nationals 3 +0.3
+0.1
Braves 0 Marlins 4 +0.1
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5 +0.1
Pirates 3 Reds 2 -0.0
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2 -0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
98-99In10019,515*
9714-2In100094,371
9613-3In1000315,895
9512-4In9730732,142
9411-5In891101,247,199
9310-6In702911,619,093
929-7In415361,630,254
918-8In1567171,289,196
907-9In35938800,505
896-10In0386100390,667
885-11100.0%01981000147,783
874-1299.5692010043,339
863-1395.019004509,287
852-1477.0073417501,389
841-1536.735236234128
830-1611.91201944233697
Total:100.0%5136130000008,341,460

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs