Miami Marlins Playoff Chances 2014-5 50/50

Lost to Phillies 1-2, playoff odds down 0.05 to 0.03%
71-76   .483

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves 5 Marlins 2 -1.6
-0.3
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7 +0.3
Pirates 2 Reds 1 -0.2
Mariners 3 Nationals 8 -0.1
Giants 13 Brewers 2 -0.1
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Braves 0 Marlins 4 +1.1
+0.3
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5 +0.2
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2 -0.2
Pirates 3 Reds 2 -0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Marlins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
8615-057.5%12729394299
8514-119.8514572211,132
8413-23.913464468,102
8312-30.400235620035,065
8211-40.007494310104,654
8110-5Out12863700230,878
809-6Out010642420382,841
798-7Out0240451210493,283
787-8Out0144532800492,927
776-9Out222422950383,766
765-10Out052647221230,136
754-11Out00739495105,025
743-12Out0118641834,879
732-13Out05583708,015
721-14Out1415711,187
710-15Out024760291
Total:0.0%00017292618126102,512,480
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Braves 5 Marlins 2 +0.6
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Braves 0 Marlins 4 -0.6

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8615-041836919122
8514-1218523301751
8413-2040624362360
8312-301625402440
8211-4001730431910
8110-501103844800
809-601145129400
798-702274621400
787-806313921400
776-9008263724500
765-10016224026500
754-11004224325500
743-12005274222400
732-1300830391940
721-141113038182
710-150216333810
Total:000000138192117139521000