Atlanta Braves Playoff Chances 2014-5 50/50

Lost to Rangers 2-3, playoff odds down 2.6 to 4.7%

75-73 .507

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Braves 5 Marlins 2	+6.2		+0.3
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7	+1.3
Pirates 2 Reds 1	-1.2
Giants 13 Brewers 2	-0.4
Mariners 3 Nationals 8	-0.4

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Braves 0 Marlins 4	-6.5		-0.3
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2	-1.5
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5	+1.5
Pirates 3 Reds 2	-1.5
Padres 2 Dodgers 1	+0.3
Mariners 1 Nationals 3	-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Braves finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

89	14	-	0	99.5	%		22	18	22	37	1										365
88	13	-	1	98.4			7	11	16	64	2	0									2,147
87	12	-	2	87.5			1	5	6	75	12	0									13,892
86	11	-	3	59.9			0	2	1	57	38	3									56,087
85	10	-	4	27.3			0	0	0	27	58	14	0								153,503
84	9	-	5	7.3				0	0	7	54	39	0								307,391
83	8	-	6	1.0				0		1	33	65	1	0							459,977
82	7	-	7	0.1						0	15	78	8	0	0						526,072
81	6	-	8	0.0						0	4	69	25	2	0						460,161
80	5	-	9	Out							1	41	47	11	1	0					307,285
79	4	-	10	Out							0	13	46	33	7	1	0				153,426
78	3	-	11	Out								2	20	43	28	6	0				55,695
77	2	-	12	Out								0	3	23	41	28	5	0			13,997
76	1	-	13	Out									0	4	25	47	22	1			2,114
75	0	-	14	Out											8	37	52	3			368

Total:				4.7	%		0	0	0	4	21	52	16	5	1	0	0	0			2,512,480

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Braves 5 Marlins 2	-0.6
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7	-0.1

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Braves 0 Marlins 4	+0.6
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5	-0.1
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2	+0.1
Pirates 3 Reds 2	+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

89	14	-	0				2	8	22	28	25	12	2	1
88	13	-	1					1	5	14	28	32	19	1	0	0
87	12	-	2					0	0	2	9	31	45	8	3	1	0
86	11	-	3							0	1	10	49	11	18	9	2	0	0
85	10	-	4								0	1	26	4	24	28	14	3	0
84	9	-	5									0	7	0	9	30	33	16	3	0
83	8	-	6									0	1	0	1	12	33	37	16	0	0
82	7	-	7										0		0	2	13	41	39	4	0
81	6	-	8										0		0	0	2	21	54	21	2	0
80	5	-	9													0	0	4	37	44	13	1	0
79	4	-	10														0	0	10	39	37	12	2	0
78	3	-	11																1	12	34	35	15	3	0	0
77	2	-	12																0	1	9	28	36	21	4	0
76	1	-	13																		1	6	23	40	24	6	0
75	0	-	14																				4	23	43	26	4

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	1	4	1	3	8	14	22	27	13	5	2	1	0	0	0	0