Atlanta Braves Playoff Chances 2014-5

Lost to Rangers 2-3, playoff odds down 3.1 to 4.5%

75-73 .507

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Braves 5 Marlins 2	+4.8		+0.2
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7	+2.2		+0.1
Pirates 2 Reds 1	-1.3
Giants 13 Brewers 2	-0.3
Mariners 3 Nationals 8	-0.1

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Braves 0 Marlins 4	-7.9		-0.3
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5	+2.2		+0.1
Pirates 3 Reds 2	-1.6
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2	-1.5		-0.0
Giants 3 Brewers 1	+0.2
Padres 2 Dodgers 1	+0.1
Mariners 1 Nationals 3	-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Braves finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

89	14	-	0	99.5	%		7	9	15	69	0										1,841
88	13	-	1	94.1			1	4	6	83	6	0									13,942
87	12	-	2	74.8			0	1	1	72	25	0									81,330
86	11	-	3	43.8			0	0	0	43	53	4									291,757
85	10	-	4	16.5				0	0	16	67	16	0								712,724
84	9	-	5	3.6				0	0	4	58	39	0								1,269,850
83	8	-	6	0.4				0		0	37	62	1	0							1,686,583
82	7	-	7	0.0						0	18	77	5	0	0						1,708,340
81	6	-	8	Out							6	74	19	1	0	0					1,319,093
80	5	-	9	Out							1	50	43	6	0	0					776,540
79	4	-	10	Out							0	21	53	23	3	0	0				341,931
78	3	-	11	Out							0	4	35	42	17	2	0				109,583
77	2	-	12	Out								0	10	36	38	15	1	0			23,866
76	1	-	13	Out									1	12	37	40	10	0			3,168
75	0	-	14	Out										2	14	46	37	1			912

Total:				4.5	%		0	0	0	4	29	53	11	2	0	0	0	0			8,341,460

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Braves 5 Marlins 2	-0.4
Cardinals 2 Cubs 7	-0.1
Pirates 2 Reds 1	+0.1

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Braves 0 Marlins 4	+0.6
Cardinals 1 Cubs 5	-0.1
Cardinals 13 Cubs 2	+0.1
Pirates 3 Reds 2	+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

89	14	-	0					1	3	13	29	36	18	0	0
88	13	-	1					0	0	1	9	33	50	4	2	0	0
87	12	-	2						0	0	1	13	61	8	14	3	0	0
86	11	-	3								0	2	41	5	31	16	3	0	0
85	10	-	4								0	0	16	1	28	35	17	3	0
84	9	-	5									0	4	0	10	32	35	16	3	0
83	8	-	6										0	0	2	13	34	36	14	0
82	7	-	7										0		0	3	16	42	37	2	0
81	6	-	8												0	0	3	25	56	15	1	0
80	5	-	9													0	0	7	46	39	8	1	0	0
79	4	-	10														0	1	17	44	31	7	1	0
78	3	-	11															0	2	20	40	29	8	1	0
77	2	-	12																0	3	18	37	31	11	1	0
76	1	-	13																	0	2	14	35	36	12	1
75	0	-	14																			1	12	37	41	8	0

Total:								0	0	0	0	0	4	0	6	12	18	23	25	8	3	1	0	0	0	0	0