New York Yankees Playoff Chances 2014-5 50/50

Beat Orioles 3-2, playoff odds up 0.6 to 2.4%

76-71 .517

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 6	+3.4		+0.3
Mariners 3 Nationals 8	+1.2
White Sox 1 Tigers 7	-0.6
Orioles 9 Twins 1	-0.6
Royals 1 Indians 6	+0.2

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jays 2 Yankees 0	-4.1		-0.3
Mariners 1 Nationals 3	+1.3
White Sox 6 Tigers 3	+0.9
White Sox 4 Tigers 8	-0.8
Orioles 3 Twins 2	-0.5
Royals 2 Indians 3	+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

91	15	-	0	99.6	%		13	5	68	13	0										281
90	14	-	1	95.6			2	2	58	34	4	0									1,148
89	13	-	2	81.5			0	0	33	48	17	2									8,050
88	12	-	3	51.7			0	0	12	40	37	11	0								35,254
87	11	-	4	20.9					2	19	43	34	3	0							104,828
86	10	-	5	4.2					0	4	25	54	15	1							229,826
85	9	-	6	0.4					0	0	7	47	37	8							383,486
84	8	-	7	0.0						0	1	23	48	27	0						493,005
83	7	-	8	Out							0	7	39	54	0						493,481
82	6	-	9	Out							0	1	21	77	1						382,856
81	5	-	10	Out								0	8	88	4	0					230,952
80	4	-	11	Out								0	2	83	15	0					105,136
79	3	-	12	Out									0	62	37	0					34,668
78	2	-	13	Out									0	35	63	2	0				8,012
77	1	-	14	Out										12	79	9	0				1,220
76	0	-	15	Out										1	73	25	1				277

Total:				2.4	%		0	0	0	2	6	20	28	42	2	0	0				2,512,480

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 6	-0.6
Mariners 3 Nationals 8	-0.1

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Blue Jays 2 Yankees 0	+0.6
Mariners 1 Nationals 3	-0.1
White Sox 6 Tigers 3	-0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

91	15	-	0			12	37	32	14	4	1			0
90	14	-	1			1	11	25	35	17	5	1		4	0
89	13	-	2			0	1	7	20	30	19	4	0	16	2
88	12	-	3				0	0	3	13	21	12	2	35	13	0
87	11	-	4					0	0	1	6	10	4	37	38	3	0
86	10	-	5							0	0	2	2	19	55	20	2	0
85	9	-	6							0	0	0	0	4	36	41	16	2	0
84	8	-	7									0	0	0	11	32	37	18	2	0
83	7	-	8											0	1	10	31	41	15	0	0
82	6	-	9												0	1	11	39	43	5	0	0
81	5	-	10												0	0	1	17	56	23	2	0	0	0
80	4	-	11														0	3	33	45	16	2	0	0
79	3	-	12															0	9	33	38	16	3	0	0
78	2	-	13															0	1	9	31	37	18	4	0
77	1	-	14																	1	9	29	37	20	4	0
76	0	-	15																		0	8	30	39	19	4

Total:						0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	15	17	18	20	17	5	2	0	0	0	0	0