New York Yankees Playoff Chances 2014-5

Beat Orioles 3-2, playoff odds up 0.1 to 0.3%

76-71 .517

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 6	+1.6		+0.3
Mariners 3 Nationals 8	+0.6
White Sox 1 Tigers 7	-0.3
Orioles 9 Twins 1	-0.2
Royals 1 Indians 6	+0.1

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jays 2 Yankees 0	-1.6		-0.2
Mariners 1 Nationals 3	+0.8
White Sox 6 Tigers 3	+0.4
White Sox 4 Tigers 8	-0.4
Royals 2 Indians 3	+0.2
Orioles 3 Twins 2	-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Yankees finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

91	15	-	0	94.3	%		3	1	40	51	5	0									751
90	14	-	1	76.8			0	1	19	57	21	2									1,160
89	13	-	2	46.7			0	0	5	41	42	11	0								9,939
88	12	-	3	19.7			0	0	1	19	47	33	1								51,878
87	11	-	4	4.9					0	5	32	57	6	0							185,119
86	10	-	5	0.7					0	1	13	66	20	1							483,185
85	9	-	6	0.0						0	3	50	40	7							952,193
84	8	-	7	0.0						0	0	25	49	25	0						1,446,847
83	7	-	8	Out							0	8	40	52	0						1,700,066
82	6	-	9	Out							0	2	21	77	1						1,551,451
81	5	-	10	Out								0	7	87	6						1,086,751
80	4	-	11	Out								0	1	79	20	0					577,951
79	3	-	12	Out									0	56	43	0					223,020
78	2	-	13	Out									0	30	70	0					59,897
77	1	-	14	Out										11	87	2	0				9,812
76	0	-	15	Out										2	91	8					1,440

Total:				0.3	%		0	0	0	0	2	17	27	49	4	0	0				8,341,460

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 6	-0.5

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Blue Jays 2 Yankees 0	+0.4

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

91	15	-	0			1	6	23	34	24	6	0		5	0
90	14	-	1				1	3	15	31	23	4	0	21	2
89	13	-	2				0	0	3	10	20	12	1	40	13	0
88	12	-	3						0	1	7	9	3	44	35	1
87	11	-	4						0	0	1	2	2	29	59	7	0	0
86	10	-	5							0	0	0	0	10	60	26	3	0	0
85	9	-	6									0	0	2	35	43	17	3	0
84	8	-	7										0	0	11	33	37	17	2	0
83	7	-	8											0	2	12	32	39	16	0	0
82	6	-	9											0	0	2	12	39	44	3	0	0
81	5	-	10												0	0	2	18	61	17	2	0	0
80	4	-	11													0	0	4	44	39	12	1	0	0
79	3	-	12														0	0	15	39	34	10	1	0
78	2	-	13															0	2	17	40	31	9	1	0
77	1	-	14																0	3	19	39	29	9	1
76	0	-	15																	0	4	22	35	31	7	0

Total:						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	11	15	17	21	23	7	2	1	0	0	0	0