Tampa Bay Rays Playoff Chances 2014-5

Lost to Blue Jays 3-6, playoff odds unchanged at 0%

71-78 .477

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rays 4 Red Sox 8	-0.1		-0.2

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rays 7 Red Sox 0			+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Rays finish out the regular season. Explain

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

84	13	-	0	Out						0	41	47	11	1						2,504
83	12	-	1	Out						0	13	46	35	5						21,666
82	11	-	2	Out						0	2	22	51	26						121,291
81	10	-	3	Out							0	5	37	58						412,760
80	9	-	4	Out							0	0	15	84	0					945,521
79	8	-	5	Out								0	4	96	0	0				1,537,745
78	7	-	6	Out								0	1	99	1	0				1,839,184
77	6	-	7	Out									0	97	3	0				1,635,432
76	5	-	8	Out									0	88	12	0	0			1,075,570
75	4	-	9	Out										70	29	1	0			520,931
74	3	-	10	Out										41	52	7	0			180,141
73	2	-	11	Out										14	59	24	3	0		41,831
72	1	-	12	Out										2	37	44	15	1		5,853
71	0	-	13	Out											14	43	38	5		1,031

Total:				Out						0	0	1	5	88	6	0	0	0		8,341,460

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Rays 4 Red Sox 8	+0.5

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Rays 7 Red Sox 0	-0.3
Braves 0 Marlins 4	+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

84	13	-	0											0	21	44	28	7	0	0
83	12	-	1												4	21	39	27	8	1	0
82	11	-	2												0	3	18	36	32	10	1	0
81	10	-	3												0	0	2	15	38	37	7	0	0
80	9	-	4													0	0	2	16	50	28	4	0	0
79	8	-	5														0	0	2	30	46	18	3	0	0
78	7	-	6															0	0	8	37	37	15	2	0	0
77	6	-	7																0	1	14	37	34	12	1	0	0
76	5	-	8																	0	2	16	38	32	10	1	0	0
75	4	-	9																	0	0	3	18	39	31	8	0	0
74	3	-	10																		0	0	3	19	42	31	5	0	0
73	2	-	11																			0	0	3	21	47	24	5	0	0
72	1	-	12																					0	4	27	42	23	4	0
71	0	-	13																						0	6	31	43	19	2

Total:														0	0	0	0	2	5	15	23	22	17	10	5	2	0	0	0	0