Baltimore Orioles Playoff Chances 2014-5

Lost to Yankees 2-3, playoff odds down 0.002 to 99.996%
88-60   .595

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles 9 Twins 1 +0.2
+0.1
Blue Jays 3 Yankees 6 -0.2
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles 3 Twins 2 +0.2
+0.1
Blue Jays 2 Yankees 0 +0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Orioles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10214-0In82185,059
10113-1In643644,000
10012-2In4258207,355
9911-3In2377598,182
9810-4In10901,176,440
979-5In4961,672,895
968-6In19901,773,306
957-7In09901,422,353
946-8In0973865,511
935-9In08910399,455
924-10In0722800136,076
913-11100.0%465300033,726
902-1299.420771215,814
891-1393.97771860571
880-1467.51550112390717
Total:100.0%5932000008,341,460
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs