How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Incl 2nd place playoff100.0*Average seed
Kazakhstan vs Latvia+10.2-6.6-15.7
+10.8-6.7-17.0
+0.5-0.3-0.7
Iceland vs Turkey-0.3+1.3-0.8
-0.3+1.2-0.6
Czech Republic vs Netherlands-0.3+1.3-0.8
-0.3+1.2-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Kazakhstan finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inIncl 2ndChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffsplace playoff123456Count
28-30InYes1002,035,877*
279-0-1InYes10001,078,573
268-2-0InYes10002,161,752
258-1-1InYes10007,349,172
248-0-2100.0%100.0%1000010,530,461*
237-2-1100.0100.0991021,858,915
227-1-2100.0100.0964036,264,760
6-4-0100.0100.099105,630,610
216-3-1100.0100.0955037,230,882
7-0-399.9100.089110019,826,594
206-2-299.899.985140091,247,700
5-5-0100.0100.093704,916,488
196-1-398.499.268312098,065,288
5-4-199.699.880200040,001,093
185-3-296.998.4583930131,511,319*
6-0-492.196.0434980038,958,457
175-2-385.792.631551400203,689,114
4-5-193.996.947476028,113,453
165-1-457.876.79493840158,830,894
4-4-275.186.919562410112,213,112*
154-3-339.364.133650110230,397,849
5-0-521.949.012154231048,671,576
3-6-160.478.31050364012,939,945
144-2-49.133.009483940264,352,848
3-5-221.548.81215523160,562,330*
134-1-50.79.7011854261158,796,367
3-4-32.718.9033252130157,200,951*
123-3-40.13.80745425230,389,836
4-0-60.01.60333521138,980,273
2-6-20.58.600165428120,112,900*
113-2-50.00.401195723203,690,160
2-5-30.01.10230541360,865,425*
102-4-40.00.10095238114,829,880*
3-1-6Out0.005455098,076,996
92-3-5Out0.0023465128,582,248
3-0-7Out0.001267319,828,648
1-6-3Out0.004425512,980,483*
82-2-6Out0.000178391,222,684
1-5-4Out0.001227728,424,975*
71-4-5OutNo0099139,999,377
2-1-7OutNo079337,436,935*
61-3-6OutNo039737,228,686
2-0-8OutNo03979,107,771*
51-2-7OutNo019921,852,325
0-5-5OutNo01994,916,356
41-1-8OutNo01007,345,398
0-4-6OutNo01005,630,927
30-3-7OutNo01005,421,229*
20-2-8OutNo01002,162,837
0-1OutNo1002,035,247*
Total:33.3%41.7%1717171717173,205,557,976

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs