Serie A Title Chances 2014-2015

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												UEFA CL			Chance will finish season at seed																						Serie B
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Juventus	50		15	-	5	-	1	35	93.2	%	-1.0	100.0	%	+0.0	93	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					1.1	-0.01	No			1	.799	Juventus
Roma	43		12	-	7	-	2	18	6.3		+0.9	94.3		+2.3	6	72	16	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		2.2	+0.07	0.0	%		2	.688	Roma

Napoli	39		11	-	6	-	4	12	0.5		+0.2	59.3		+18.3	0	15	44	20	10	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3.7	+0.54	0.0		-0.0	4	.597	Napoli

Lazio	34		10	-	4	-	7	12	0.0		-0.1	19.2		-10.9	0	3	16	24	19	14	9	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.3	-0.65	0.0			10	.600	Lazio
Fiorentina	32		8	-	8	-	5	9	0.0		+0.0	11.7		+1.5	0	1	10	19	19	16	12	8	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9	+0.03	0.0			5	.595	Fiorentina
Sampdoria	34		8	-	10	-	3	4	0.0		-0.1	9.9		-13.3	0	1	9	16	18	17	13	9	7	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2	-1.23	0.0		+0.0	3	.533	Sampdoria
AC Milan	29		7	-	8	-	6	5	0.0		+0.0	1.5		+0.9	0	0	1	4	7	10	12	13	12	11	10	8	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	8.8	+0.70	0.1		-0.1	13	.538	AC Milan
Genoa	29		7	-	8	-	6	3	0.0		+0.0	1.2		+0.2	0	0	1	4	7	10	12	13	13	12	10	8	6	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	8.8	-0.16	0.1		-0.0	6	.518	Genoa
Palermo	30		7	-	9	-	5	1	0.0		+0.0	1.2		+0.6	0	0	1	3	6	9	11	12	12	12	11	9	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	9.1	+0.50	0.1		-0.1	8	.493	Palermo
Udinese	28		7	-	7	-	7	-2	0.0		-0.0	0.5		+0.1	0	0	0	2	3	5	7	9	11	12	13	12	11	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	10.3	-0.04	0.2		-0.1	11	.461	Udinese
Torino	28		7	-	7	-	7	0	0.0			0.4		+0.4	0	0	0	1	3	5	7	9	11	12	13	13	11	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	10.3	+1.82	0.2		-1.5	9	.484	Torino
Sassuolo	28		6	-	10	-	5	-2	0.0			0.4		+0.3	0	0	0	1	3	5	7	9	10	12	13	13	12	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	10.6	+1.03	0.3		-0.8	7	.462	Sassuolo
Inter Milan	26		6	-	8	-	7	1	0.0		-0.0	0.2		-0.3	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	8	10	12	13	14	13	9	5	3	1	0	0	0	11.0	-1.30	0.5		+0.3	12	.495	Inter Milan
Verona	24		6	-	6	-	9	-11	0.0		-0.0	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	11	18	18	16	11	6	2	0	14.5	-0.77	7.8		+2.4	14	.369	Verona
Atalanta	23		5	-	8	-	8	-9	0.0			0.0		+0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	9	15	19	18	15	9	3	0	15.0	-0.15	11.7		-0.0	16	.359	Atalanta
Empoli	20		3	-	11	-	7	-7	0.0			0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	7	12	17	19	18	13	5	1	15.6	-0.11	18.5		-0.3	17	.390	Empoli
Cagliari	19		4	-	7	-	10	-12	0.0			0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	9	13	18	22	19	8	1	16.2	-0.07	28.9		-0.8	18	.378	Cagliari

Chievo	18		4	-	6	-	11	-11	0.0			0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	9	14	20	29	17	3	17.1	-0.49	48.7		+9.0	15	.327	Chievo
Cesena	15		3	-	6	-	12	-20	0.0			0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	9	19	49	16	18.5	+0.49	84.5		-8.7	19	.299	Cesena
Parma	10		3	-	1	-	17	-26	No			0.0		-0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	16	78	19.7	-0.20	98.4		+0.9	20	.265	Parma

Week of 1/31
Roma 1 Empoli 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Juventus	+2.0
Roma	-2.1		-2.0		*No
Napoli			+0.5
Lazio			+0.6
Fiorentina			+0.3
Sampdoria			+0.5
Atalanta					+0.5
Empoli	*No				-2.1		+0.1
Cagliari					+0.4
Chievo					+0.6
Cesena					+0.2

Udinese 0 Juventus 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Juventus	-1.4
Roma	+1.3
Udinese	No						+0.1

Chievo 1 Napoli 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Roma			-0.8
Napoli			+7.3		No		+0.3
Lazio			-2.6
Fiorentina			-1.2
Sampdoria			-2.1
Torino					-0.2
Verona					-0.5
Atalanta					-1.0
Empoli					-1.4
Cagliari					-2.0
Chievo			No		+6.0		-0.3
Cesena					-0.5
Parma					-0.2

Cesena 2 Lazio 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Roma			+1.2
Napoli			+3.8
Lazio			-9.7				-0.5
Fiorentina			+1.4
Sampdoria			+2.6
Verona					+0.4
Atalanta					+0.9
Empoli					+1.1
Cagliari					+1.4
Chievo					+1.4
Cesena					-5.7		+0.3

Torino 5 Sampdoria 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Roma			+0.9
Napoli			+2.6
Lazio			+2.1
Fiorentina			+0.9
Sampdoria			-7.2				-0.5
Torino					-1.1		+0.9
Cagliari					+0.2
Chievo					+0.3

Genoa 1 Fiorentina 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Roma			+0.2
Napoli			+0.7
Lazio			+0.5
Fiorentina			-1.5				-0.1
Sampdoria			+0.4
Genoa			-0.4				-0.1

Sassuolo 3 Inter Milan 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sassuolo					-0.7		+0.8
Inter Milan	No		-0.3				-0.7

Palermo 2 Verona 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palermo			+0.3				+0.6
Verona	No				+1.7		-0.5
Atalanta					-0.2
Empoli					-0.3
Cagliari					-0.4
Chievo					-0.4

AC Milan 3 Parma 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
AC Milan			+0.2				+0.4
Cagliari					-0.2
Parma			No		+0.8

Atalanta 2 Cagliari 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atalanta					-8.9		+0.6
Empoli					+0.3
Cagliari	*No				+7.5		-0.6
Chievo					+0.5

Week of 2/7
Juventus vs AC MilanIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Juventus	95.091.388.6
Roma	4.78.010.3		94.394.294.1
AC Milan			1.11.63.6				9.18.67.7

Cagliari vs RomaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Juventus	95.994.791.3
Roma	3.44.78.1		90.392.996.4		0.0NoNo		2.42.32.1
Empoli					20.618.717.5		15.715.615.5
Cagliari	0.0NoNo				17.427.633.8		15.516.216.5
Chievo					52.749.247.0		17.217.117.0
Cesena					86.584.783.6		18.618.518.5

Napoli vs UdineseHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Napoli	0.70.30.2		66.654.547.7		No0.00.0		3.43.84.1
Lazio			16.820.923.0
Fiorentina			10.112.914.3
Sampdoria			8.510.912.1
Udinese			0.20.41.4		0.40.20.1		10.810.39.3

Lazio vs GenoaHomeDrawAway
Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Napoli			56.961.062.1
Lazio			24.715.912.0				4.85.56.0
Genoa			0.61.12.8				9.48.87.8

Sampdoria vs SassuoloHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Napoli			57.860.361.0
Sampdoria			13.57.85.6				5.76.57.0
Sassuolo			0.10.30.9		0.40.20.1		11.110.69.6

Fiorentina vs AtalantaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Napoli			57.960.761.7				3.73.63.6
Fiorentina			14.88.66.3				5.66.36.7
Atalanta	NoNo0.0				14.210.45.3		15.314.914.1

Inter Milan vs PalermoHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palermo			0.61.02.3				9.89.28.2
Inter Milan			0.40.10.1		0.20.50.9		10.211.311.8

Verona vs TorinoHomeDrawAway
Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Torino			0.20.30.8		0.50.20.1		11.110.59.6
Verona	0.0NoNo				3.88.011.1		13.714.615.0

Empoli vs CesenaHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Empoli	0.0NoNo				12.021.028.9		15.115.816.2
Cesena			NoNo0.0		89.784.773.6		18.818.518.1

Parma vs ChievoHomeDrawAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	UEFA CL	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atalanta					10.511.313.4		15.015.015.1
Empoli					16.617.920.8		15.515.515.6
Cagliari					26.328.132.1		16.216.216.3
Chievo	NoNo0.0				58.150.837.5		17.517.216.6
Parma			0.0NoNo		97.198.999.5		19.619.819.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Serie A Title Chances 2014-2015

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