Bayer Leverkusen Title Chances 2014-2015Beat Hertha Berlin 1-0, title odds up 0.02 to 0.06% 32 points 8-8-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain | Week of 1/30 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | 2. Bundesliga | 100.0* | Average seed | | Leverkusen 0 Dortmund 0 | | | -6.3 | | -0.0 | | -0.3 | | | Hertha Berlin 0 Leverkusen 1 | | | +7.7 | | | | +0.4 | | | Wolfsburg 4 Bayern Munich 1 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | | Bayern Munich 1 Shalke 1 | | | -0.6 | | | | -0.0 | | | Eintracht 1 Wolfsburg 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | | Dortmund 0 Augsburg 1 | | | -2.2 | | | | -0.1 | | | Stuttgart 0 Monchengladbach 1 | | | -1.8 | | | | -0.1 | | | Monchengladbach 1 Freiburg 0 | | | -1.6 | | | | -0.0 | | | Shalke 1 Hannover 0 | | | -1.5 | | | | | | | Hoffenheim 1 Werder Bremen 2 | | | +0.9 | | | | +0.1 | | | Freiburg 4 Eintracht 1 | | | +0.6 | | | | | | | Augsburg 3 Hoffenheim 1 | | | -0.5 | | | | | | | Hannover 1 Mainz 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | | Koln 0 Stuttgart 0 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | | Week of 2/6 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | 2. Bundesliga | 100.0* | Average seed | | Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | | | | | | | | Werder Bremen vs Leverkusen | | | -10.9-4.3+8.9 | | | | -0.5-0.2+0.4 | | | Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim | | | -0.1+0.3-0.0 | | | | | | | Shalke vs Monchengladbach | | | -0.7+1.2-0.0 | | | | | | | Augsburg vs Eintracht | | | -2.3+1.5+3.0 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | Hamburger vs Hannover | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | | Mainz vs Hertha Berlin | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Leverkusen finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | 2. | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Bundesliga | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 77 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 60.7 | % | Yes | 61 | 39 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 526,316 | | | 75 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 38.0 | | Yes | 38 | 61 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 104,653 | | | 74 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 27.2 | | Yes | 27 | 71 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 147,715 | | | 73 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 21.9 | | Yes | 22 | 76 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 428,068 | | | 72 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 14.2 | | Yes | 14 | 81 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,198,178 | | | 71 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 9.7 | | Yes | 10 | 82 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,913,036 | * | | 70 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 6.1 | | Yes | 6 | 81 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,504,807 | | | 69 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 3.5 | | 100.0 | % | 3 | 77 | 19 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,066,746 | * | | 68 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 2.0 | | 100.0 | | 2 | 71 | 26 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,139,689 | * | | 67 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 1.0 | | 100.0 | | 1 | 63 | 35 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,527,753 | * | | 66 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.5 | | 100.0 | | 0 | 53 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35,285,565 | * | | 65 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.2 | | 99.9 | | 0 | 43 | 51 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 52,585,810 | * | | 64 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.1 | | 99.7 | | 0 | 33 | 58 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 77,353,458 | * | | 63 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 99.1 | | 0 | 23 | 60 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 102,719,014 | * | | 62 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 97.7 | | 0 | 15 | 59 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 135,840,296 | * | | 61 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 94.7 | | 0 | 9 | 53 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 172,164,942 | * | | 60 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 89.6 | | 0 | 5 | 44 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 204,576,402 | * | | 59 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 81.5 | | 0 | 2 | 33 | 46 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 239,463,360 | * | | 58 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 67.9 | | 0 | 1 | 21 | 46 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 140,522,082 | | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 73.0 | | 0 | 1 | 25 | 47 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 126,768,509 | * | | 57 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 57.7 | | 0 | 0 | 14 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 198,295,347 | | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 55.6 | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 42 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 86,031,549 | * | | 56 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 42.7 | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 42 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 295,494,911 | * | | 55 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 30.8 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 46 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 151,794,253 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 27.1 | | | 0 | 3 | 24 | 46 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 141,135,390 | * | | 54 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 17.8 | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 278,646,625 | * | | 53 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 8.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 164,125,250 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | 10.8 | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 93,212,160 | * | | 52 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 4.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 49 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 126,021,300 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | 3.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 50 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 100,831,762 | * | | 51 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 1.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 50 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 192,153,385 | * | | 50 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 0.5 | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 43 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 157,260,260 | * | | 49 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 42 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 122,741,508 | * | | 48 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 41 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 91,872,379 | * | | 47 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 37 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 66,149,290 | * | | 46 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 45,224,275 | * | | 45 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 29,520,935 | * | | 44 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 18,421,434 | * | | 43 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 10,833,275 | * | | 42 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 6,027,269 | * | | 41 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 3,172,007 | * | | 40 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 1,552,464 | * | | 39 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 703,055 | * | | 38 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | | 296,688 | * | | 37 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4.8 | | 111,978 | * | | 36 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 13.4 | | 37,871 | * | | 35 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 27.4 | | 10,926 | * | | 34 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 37 | 24 | 5 | 47.2 | | 2,579 | | | 33 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 14 | 39 | 35 | 10 | 64.3 | | 423 | | | 32 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 46 | 25 | 83.1 | | 514,513 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 44.2 | % | 0 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 22 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 3,723,031,460 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |