Swindon Title Chances 2014-2015 50/50Beat Peterborough 2-1, title odds up 5 to 17.7% 35 points 10-5-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2 | -0.5 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Oldham 2 Walsall 1 | | | -0.2 | | | | | | Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | | | *+0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | Gillingham 0 Scunthorpe 3 | | | | | *+0.1 | | | | | Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Swindon 2 Rochdale 3 | -2.8 | | -5.3 | | +0.9 | | -0.9 | | Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 | -1.0 | | -1.5 | | *+0.1 | | -0.2 | | Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 | -0.9 | | -0.7 | | | | | | Preston 2 Port Vale 0 | -0.3 | | -0.5 | | | | | | Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 | +0.3 | | +0.5 | | | | | | Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | | | | | Gillingham 0 Preston 1 | -0.3 | | -0.4 | | -0.1 | | | | Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 | -0.3 | | -0.4 | | | | | | Milton Keynes D 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 | *+0.1 | | *+0.2 | | | | | | Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 | *+0.1 | | *+0.2 | | | | | | Oldham 4 Coventry 1 | | | -0.2 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Swindon finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | League | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Two | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | -119 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,548 | * | 101 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 100.0 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,564 | * | 100 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,025 | * | 99 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,271 | * | 98 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,622 | * | 97 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,080 | * | 96 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 63,057 | * | 95 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.6 | | 100.0 | % | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 99,736 | * | 94 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.4 | | 100.0 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 152,305 | * | 93 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 99.1 | | 100.0 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 229,424 | * | 92 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 98.7 | | 100.0 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 338,581 | * | 91 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 98.1 | | 100.0 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 485,883 | * | 90 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 97.1 | | 100.0 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 683,936 | * | 89 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 95.7 | | 100.0 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 943,598 | * | 88 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 93.9 | | 99.9 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,274,333 | * | 87 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 91.3 | | 99.8 | | 91 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,688,368 | * | 86 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 87.8 | | 99.7 | | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,182,950 | * | 85 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 83.3 | | 99.3 | | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,783,181 | * | 84 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 77.7 | | 98.7 | | 78 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,463,655 | * | 83 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 70.8 | | 97.6 | | 71 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,233,091 | * | 82 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 62.7 | | 95.8 | | 63 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,065,663 | * | 81 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 53.6 | | 92.9 | | 54 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,950,377 | * | 80 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 43.8 | | 88.7 | | 44 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,854,809 | * | 79 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 33.9 | | 82.7 | | 34 | 43 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,739,632 | * | 78 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 24.4 | | 74.8 | | 24 | 42 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,573,133 | * | 77 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 16.2 | | 65.4 | | 16 | 38 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,308,603 | * | 76 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 9.7 | | 55.2 | | 10 | 31 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,906,743 | * | 75 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 5.1 | | 45.2 | | 5 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,344,505 | * | 74 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 2.3 | | 36.7 | | 2 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,593,716 | * | 73 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 0.9 | | 30.1 | | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,636,594 | * | 72 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 0.2 | | 25.2 | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,464,255 | * | 71 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 12 | 0.1 | | 20.7 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,082,625 | * | 70 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 15.5 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,528,779 | * | 69 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 9.7 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,812,277 | * | 68 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 4.7 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,989,777 | * | 67 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | 1.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 7,092,438 | * | 66 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | 0.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 6,154,480 | * | 65 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 5,232,320 | * | 64 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 4,348,081 | * | 63 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 3,538,785 | * | 62 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 2,805,089 | * | 61 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 2,174,905 | * | 60 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 1,646,013 | * | 59 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.3 | | 1,215,040 | * | 58 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | | 874,015 | * | 57 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 | | 612,157 | * | 56 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19.7 | | 417,270 | * | 55 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 38.3 | | 275,852 | * | 54 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 58.7 | | 177,718 | * | 53 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 3 | 76.5 | | 110,974 | * | 52 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 6 | 88.6 | | 66,235 | * | 51 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 33 | 13 | 95.1 | | 38,829 | * | 50 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 40 | 22 | 98.3 | | 21,748 | * | 49 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 43 | 31 | 99.4 | | 11,719 | * | 48 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 44 | 99.8 | | 6,075 | * | 47 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 56 | 99.9 | | 2,947 | * | 46 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 29 | 65 | Yes | 1,439 | * | 45 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 20 | 77 | Yes | 607 | * | 44 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 83 | Yes | 235 | * | 43 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 88 | Yes | 114 | * | 42 | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | Yes | 32 | * | 38 | -41 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 21 | * | 35 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 28 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 19,422 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 17.7 | % | 42.0 | % | 18 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | % | 187,432,256 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |