Rochdale Title Chances 2014-2015 50/50Lost to Doncaster 1-3, title odds down 1.5 to 3.1% 26 points 8-2-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2 | -0.1 | | *-0.1 | | | | | | Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | | | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 | | | *+0.1 | | *-0.1 | | | | | Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Swindon 2 Rochdale 3 | +1.1 | | +3.5 | | -3.4 | | +1.3 | | Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 | -0.4 | | -0.9 | | +0.3 | | -0.2 | | Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | Gillingham 0 Preston 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | *-0.1 | | | | Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | | | Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 | -0.1 | | | | -0.1 | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | *-0.1 | | | | Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 | *+0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 | *+0.1 | | *+0.1 | | *-0.1 | | | | Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 | | | | | *+0.1 | | | | Preston 2 Port Vale 0 | | | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | Oldham 4 Coventry 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 | | | *+0.1 | | +0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Rochdale finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | League | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Two | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | -113 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,679 | * | 98 | | 23 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.7 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 293 | * | 97 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 657 | * | 96 | | 22 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,222 | * | 95 | | 22 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,236 | * | 94 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,237 | * | 93 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,390 | * | 92 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 99.1 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,756 | * | 91 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 98.3 | | 100.0 | % | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,439 | * | 90 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 97.3 | | 100.0 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,844 | * | 89 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 96.1 | | 100.0 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 55,937 | * | 88 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 94.1 | | 99.9 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 87,719 | * | 87 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 91.6 | | 99.8 | | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 134,096 | * | 86 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 87.9 | | 99.6 | | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 202,419 | * | 85 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 83.5 | | 99.3 | | 84 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 297,050 | * | 84 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 77.6 | | 98.6 | | 78 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 428,239 | * | 83 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 70.7 | | 97.5 | | 71 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 601,771 | * | 82 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 62.5 | | 95.6 | | 63 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 830,802 | * | 81 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 53.2 | | 92.6 | | 53 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,127,040 | * | 80 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 43.3 | | 88.2 | | 43 | 41 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,494,788 | * | 79 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 33.3 | | 82.0 | | 33 | 43 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,941,567 | * | 78 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 23.9 | | 74.0 | | 24 | 41 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,480,448 | * | 77 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 15.8 | | 64.6 | | 16 | 37 | 32 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,100,462 | * | 76 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 9.4 | | 54.5 | | 9 | 30 | 35 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,808,742 | * | 75 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 5.0 | | 44.7 | | 5 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,589,775 | * | 74 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 2.3 | | 36.4 | | 2 | 13 | 29 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,424,328 | * | 73 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 0.8 | | 30.0 | | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,292,997 | * | 72 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 0.2 | | 25.2 | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,157,344 | * | 71 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 0.1 | | 20.9 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,000,778 | * | 70 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 15.9 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,759,721 | * | 69 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 10.3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,418,573 | * | 68 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 5.3 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,941,056 | * | 67 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | 2.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 10,288,964 | * | 66 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | 0.5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 10,454,142 | * | 65 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 10,410,755 | * | 64 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 10,174,943 | * | 63 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 9,745,542 | * | 62 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 9,160,513 | * | 61 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 8,432,900 | * | 60 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 7,613,195 | * | 59 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 6,730,357 | * | 58 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | | 5,829,188 | * | 57 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.3 | | 4,943,960 | * | 56 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12.8 | | 4,105,828 | * | 55 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 28.1 | | 3,330,853 | * | 54 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 48.0 | | 2,643,676 | * | 53 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 67.5 | | 2,052,701 | * | 52 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 4 | 82.6 | | 1,553,787 | * | 51 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 34 | 29 | 9 | 92.0 | | 1,148,888 | * | 50 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 37 | 16 | 96.8 | | 830,751 | * | 49 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 41 | 26 | 98.9 | | 582,068 | * | 48 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 42 | 37 | 99.7 | | 399,239 | * | 47 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 49 | 99.9 | | 267,044 | * | 46 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 60 | 100.0 | | 173,195 | * | 45 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 70 | 100.0 | | 108,178 | * | 44 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | Yes | 66,168 | * | 43 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | Yes | 39,067 | * | 42 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | Yes | 22,019 | * | 41 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 11,971 | * | 40 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 6,454 | * | 39 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 3,226 | * | 38 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 1,585 | * | 37 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 729 | * | 36 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 331 | * | 26 | -35 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 19,634 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3.1 | % | 13.4 | % | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4.9 | % | 187,432,256 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |