SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holding my newborn
4 a.m.

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Bristol City 3 Chesterfield 2 -0.4
-0.3
Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 -0.2
-0.3
Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 *+0.1
*+0.2
Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 *+0.1
Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 *+0.1
+0.1
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Milton Keynes D 2 Fleetwood Town 1 +2.5
+5.5
-1.6
+1.1
Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 -0.8
-1.4
+0.2
-0.2
Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 -0.7
-0.6
Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 -0.3
-0.3
Preston 2 Port Vale 0 -0.3
-0.4
Gillingham 0 Preston 1 -0.2
-0.4
-0.1
Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 +0.2
+0.4
+0.1
Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 +0.2
+0.2
Swindon 2 Rochdale 3 +0.1
*+0.1
Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 *+0.1
*+0.1
*-0.1
Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 *-0.1
-0.2
Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 -0.3
Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 -0.2
Oldham 4 Coventry 1 -0.2
Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 +0.2
+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Milton Keynes D finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
105-123YesYes100No20,511*
10423-5-399.9%Yes1000No1,063*
10323-4-499.9Yes1000No1,953*
10222-6-399.9Yes1000No3,511*
10122-5-499.9Yes1000No6,043*
10022-4-599.9Yes1000No10,332*
9921-6-499.9Yes1000No16,668*
9821-5-599.9Yes1000No27,597*
9721-4-699.8Yes1000No44,040*
9620-6-599.8Yes1000No68,905*
9520-5-699.7Yes1000No104,712*
9419-7-599.5100.0%9910No156,578*
9319-6-699.2100.09910No229,886*
9219-5-798.8100.09910No330,612*
9118-7-698.2100.09820No466,069*
9018-6-797.3100.09730No645,084*
8918-5-896.0100.096400No877,963*
8817-7-794.299.994600No1,169,817*
8717-6-891.699.892800No1,533,397*
8616-8-788.399.7881100No1,967,545*
8516-7-883.899.38415100No2,483,982*
8416-6-978.298.87820200No3,075,994*
8315-8-871.397.77126300No3,749,012*
8215-7-963.295.963315000No4,481,233*
8115-6-1054.193.054378100No5,262,232*
8014-8-944.288.84441132000No6,077,797*
7914-7-1034.182.83443194000No6,893,710*
7814-6-1124.674.925422571000No7,683,599*
7713-8-1016.365.4163831122000No8,404,013*
7613-7-119.755.11030351951000No9,037,650*
7512-9-105.145.25223426102000No9,543,343*
7412-8-112.336.621429311751000No9,904,166*
7312-7-120.830.1172132251130000No10,098,103*
7211-9-110.225.10313263019720000No10,106,077*
7111-8-120.120.60161829271551000No9,936,132*
7011-7-130.015.500292129231131000No9,584,849*
6910-9-120.09.7000312242821930000No9,086,048*
6810-8-130.04.70001414252719820000No8,449,127*
6710-7-14No1.600015152527177200000No7,715,199*
669-9-13No0.40001616262616720000No6,910,789*
659-8-14No0.100001616262616720000No6,072,600*
649-7-15No0.000002616252616720000No5,225,416*
638-9-14No0.00002616252617720000No4,414,780*
628-8-15NoNo000261525261772000No3,654,430*
618-7-16NoNo000016152526177200000.0%2,959,403*
607-9-15NoNo000016152526177200000.02,352,516*
597-8-16NoNo00001615252617720000.31,827,052*
587-7-17NoNo00002616252617720001.81,388,659*
576-9-16NoNo0000271726261661006.91,032,782*
566-8-17NoNo000281928251441018.4749,111*
556-7-18NoNo000310212923112036.5532,095*
545-9-17NoNo00014132530207157.1368,189*
535-8-18NoNo0001618302914375.1248,678*
525-7-19NoNo000210253423687.7163,389*
514-9-18NoNo00141733331294.8104,222*
504-8-19NoNo0021028392198.064,719*
494-7-20NoNo01521433199.439,125*
484-6-21NoNo00214404499.823,045*
473-8-20NoNo0183654100.012,829*
463-7-21NoNo043065Yes7,044*
453-6-22NoNo022474Yes3,790*
442-8-21NoNo11782Yes1,925*
432-7-22NoNo01485Yes958*
422-6-23NoNo991Yes406*
411-8-22NoNo595Yes208*
401-7-23NoNo398Yes80*
391-6-24NoNo496Yes27*
380-8-23NoNo892Yes12*
30-37NoNo100Yes19,425*
Total:16.0%38.3%16131110876544332211111000000.7%187,432,256

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:29 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)